Determination of the dependence between climatic factors and Covid-19 disease incidence
The purpose of research consists in definition and an estimation of climatic factors influence on disease incidence of Covid-19 on an example of Mykolaiv city. In research we used such scientific methods: theoretical methods: analysis, synthesis, monitoring, systematization, generalization. For rese...
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| Datum: | 2021 |
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| Sprache: | Ukrainian |
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Kyiv National University of Construction and Architecture
2021
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es-journalinua-article-2367212021-07-08T09:48:58Z Determination of the dependence between climatic factors and Covid-19 disease incidence Визначення залежності між кліматичними чинниками і захворюваністю на Covid-19 Mitryasova, Olena P. Pryhodko, Anna S. кліматичні чинники кореляційний аналіз захворюваність на Covid-19 якість життя climatic factors correlation analysis Covid-19 disease incidence quality of life The purpose of research consists in definition and an estimation of climatic factors influence on disease incidence of Covid-19 on an example of Mykolaiv city. In research we used such scientific methods: theoretical methods: analysis, synthesis, monitoring, systematization, generalization. For research facility, were held by calculations based on software Microsoft Excel. The calculations were performed using the formula correlation. Results. The study examines the influence of climatic factors such as air temperature, humidity, solar radiation activity, wind speed, rainfall, and length of daylight. For the pair «Disease incidence – Temperature» the correlation coefficient is −0.74. For the pair «Disease incidence − Solar Radiation» correlation coefficient is −0.71. For the pair «Disease incidence – Daylight hours» correlation coefficient is −0.70. Humidity, as a derivative of air temperature, is evidenced by a comparison of decline periods and growth of these values. In the spring, along with the increase in temperature, the humidity dropped, and in the fall, when the air temperature dropped, the humidity increased. This factor also affected the spread of the virus in the second half of the year, when the humidity increased the virus began to spread faster. For the pair «Disease incidence – Humidity» correlation coefficient is +0.73 (average direct correlation). Other climatic factors, such as wind speed and rainfall, have not been shown to have a significant effect on the rate of disease spread. For the pair «Disease incidence − Wind speed» correlation coefficient is +0.32, which corresponds to a weak direct correlation. For the pair «Disease incidence − Rainfall» correlation coefficient is −0.30, which indicates a weak inverse correlation. Conclusion. The results of the study show that the reduction of disease incidence is observed at high temperatures, high activity of solar radiation, and prolonged daylight, which determines the conditions for the prevention of such diseases and will improve the quality of life to achieve sustainable development. Розглянуто залежності між кліматичними чинниками і захворюваністю на Сovid-19. Для визначення залежностей використано метод кореляційного аналізу. Проаналізовано тільки один з ймовірних складових впливу на захворюваність, а саме кліматичні чинники (температура повітря; вологість повітря; активність сонячної радіації; швидкість вітру; кількість опадів; довжина світлового дня). Визначено тісні зв’язки захворюваності з температурою повітря, активністю сонячної радіації, довжиною світлового дня, а також тісну зворотну залежність від вологості повітря (з коефіцієнтами кореляції близько ±0,9). Показано, що інші кліматичні характеристики, а саме: швидкість вітру і кількість опадів, не мають сили впливу на швидкість розповсюдження захворювання. З’ясовані залежності можуть визначати умови проведення профілактики подібних захворювань, що надасть змогу покращити якість життя людини на шляху досягнення цілей сталого розвитку. Kyiv National University of Construction and Architecture 2021-06-30 Article Article application/pdf https://es-journal.in.ua/article/view/236721 10.32347/2411-4049.2021.2.94-103 Environmental safety and natural resources; Vol. 38 No. 2 (2021): Environmental safety and natural resources; 94-103 Екологічна безпека та природокористування; Том 38 № 2 (2021): Екологічна безпека та природокористування; 94-103 2616-2121 2411-4049 10.32347/2411-4049.2021.2 uk https://es-journal.in.ua/article/view/236721/235266 Copyright (c) 2021 Olena P. Mitryasova, Anna S. Pryhodko http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0 |
| institution |
Environmental safety and natural resources |
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| datestamp_date |
2021-07-08T09:48:58Z |
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OJS |
| language |
Ukrainian |
| topic |
climatic factors correlation analysis Covid-19 disease incidence quality of life |
| spellingShingle |
climatic factors correlation analysis Covid-19 disease incidence quality of life Mitryasova, Olena P. Pryhodko, Anna S. Determination of the dependence between climatic factors and Covid-19 disease incidence |
| topic_facet |
кліматичні чинники кореляційний аналіз захворюваність на Covid-19 якість життя climatic factors correlation analysis Covid-19 disease incidence quality of life |
| format |
Article |
| author |
Mitryasova, Olena P. Pryhodko, Anna S. |
| author_facet |
Mitryasova, Olena P. Pryhodko, Anna S. |
| author_sort |
Mitryasova, Olena P. |
| title |
Determination of the dependence between climatic factors and Covid-19 disease incidence |
| title_short |
Determination of the dependence between climatic factors and Covid-19 disease incidence |
| title_full |
Determination of the dependence between climatic factors and Covid-19 disease incidence |
| title_fullStr |
Determination of the dependence between climatic factors and Covid-19 disease incidence |
| title_full_unstemmed |
Determination of the dependence between climatic factors and Covid-19 disease incidence |
| title_sort |
determination of the dependence between climatic factors and covid-19 disease incidence |
| title_alt |
Визначення залежності між кліматичними чинниками і захворюваністю на Covid-19 |
| description |
The purpose of research consists in definition and an estimation of climatic factors influence on disease incidence of Covid-19 on an example of Mykolaiv city. In research we used such scientific methods: theoretical methods: analysis, synthesis, monitoring, systematization, generalization. For research facility, were held by calculations based on software Microsoft Excel. The calculations were performed using the formula correlation. Results. The study examines the influence of climatic factors such as air temperature, humidity, solar radiation activity, wind speed, rainfall, and length of daylight. For the pair «Disease incidence – Temperature» the correlation coefficient is −0.74. For the pair «Disease incidence − Solar Radiation» correlation coefficient is −0.71. For the pair «Disease incidence – Daylight hours» correlation coefficient is −0.70. Humidity, as a derivative of air temperature, is evidenced by a comparison of decline periods and growth of these values. In the spring, along with the increase in temperature, the humidity dropped, and in the fall, when the air temperature dropped, the humidity increased. This factor also affected the spread of the virus in the second half of the year, when the humidity increased the virus began to spread faster. For the pair «Disease incidence – Humidity» correlation coefficient is +0.73 (average direct correlation). Other climatic factors, such as wind speed and rainfall, have not been shown to have a significant effect on the rate of disease spread. For the pair «Disease incidence − Wind speed» correlation coefficient is +0.32, which corresponds to a weak direct correlation. For the pair «Disease incidence − Rainfall» correlation coefficient is −0.30, which indicates a weak inverse correlation. Conclusion. The results of the study show that the reduction of disease incidence is observed at high temperatures, high activity of solar radiation, and prolonged daylight, which determines the conditions for the prevention of such diseases and will improve the quality of life to achieve sustainable development. |
| publisher |
Kyiv National University of Construction and Architecture |
| publishDate |
2021 |
| url |
https://es-journal.in.ua/article/view/236721 |
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