Galactic cosmic rays-clouds effect and bifurcation model of Earth global climate

The possible physical linkage between the cosmic rays cloud and indirect aerosol effects is discussed using the analysis of the first indirect aerosol effect (Twomey effect) and its experimental representation as the dependence of mean cloud droplet effective radius versus aerosol index defining the...

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Дата:2006
Автори: Rusov, V.D., Glushkov, A.V., Vaschenko, V.N., Zelentsova, T.N., Mihalys, О.T., Khokhlov, V.N., Kolos, A., Patlashenko, Zh.
Формат: Стаття
Мова:English
Опубліковано: Національний антарктичний науковий центр МОН України 2006
Назва видання:Український антарктичний журнал
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Онлайн доступ:http://dspace.nbuv.gov.ua/handle/123456789/128260
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Назва журналу:Digital Library of Periodicals of National Academy of Sciences of Ukraine
Цитувати:Galactic cosmic rays-clouds effect and bifurcation model of Earth global climate / V.D. Rusov, A.V. Glushkov, V.N. Vaschenko, T.N. Zelentsova, О.T. Mihalys, V.N. Khokhlov, A. Kolos, Zh. Patlashenko // Український антарктичний журнал. — 2006. — № 4-5. — С. 117-136. — Бібліогр.: 41 назв. — англ.

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Digital Library of Periodicals of National Academy of Sciences of Ukraine
id irk-123456789-128260
record_format dspace
spelling irk-123456789-1282602018-01-08T03:04:02Z Galactic cosmic rays-clouds effect and bifurcation model of Earth global climate Rusov, V.D. Glushkov, A.V. Vaschenko, V.N. Zelentsova, T.N. Mihalys, О.T. Khokhlov, V.N. Kolos, A. Patlashenko, Zh. Ядерно-фізичні дослідження Землі та атмосфери The possible physical linkage between the cosmic rays cloud and indirect aerosol effects is discussed using the analysis of the first indirect aerosol effect (Twomey effect) and its experimental representation as the dependence of mean cloud droplet effective radius versus aerosol index defining the column aerosol number. It is shown that the main kinetic equation of Earth climate energy-balance model is described by the bifurcation equation (relative to the surface temperature of the Earth) in the form of fold catastrophe with two controlling parameters defining the variations of insolation and Earth magnetic field (or cosmic rays intensity in the atmosphere) respectively. The results of comparative analysis on the time-dependent solution of Earth climate energy-balance model taking into account nontrivial role of galactic cosmic rays and the known experimental data on the paleotemperature from the Vostoc ice core are presented. In the framework of the bifurcation model (i) the possibility of abrupt glacial climate changes analogous to the Dansgaard-Oeschger events due to stochastic resonance is theoretically argued, (ii) the concept of the climatic sensitivity of water (vapour and liquid) in the atmosphere is introduced. This concept reveals the property of temperature instability in the form of so-called hysteresis loop. On the basis of this concept it is shown that the simulated time series of global ice volume over the past 730 kyr are in good agreement with time series of seawater δ¹⁸O (ice volume proxy). (iii) Also, the so-called "doubling CO₂" problem is discussed. 2006 Article Galactic cosmic rays-clouds effect and bifurcation model of Earth global climate / V.D. Rusov, A.V. Glushkov, V.N. Vaschenko, T.N. Zelentsova, О.T. Mihalys, V.N. Khokhlov, A. Kolos, Zh. Patlashenko // Український антарктичний журнал. — 2006. — № 4-5. — С. 117-136. — Бібліогр.: 41 назв. — англ. 1727-7485 http://dspace.nbuv.gov.ua/handle/123456789/128260 en Український антарктичний журнал Національний антарктичний науковий центр МОН України
institution Digital Library of Periodicals of National Academy of Sciences of Ukraine
collection DSpace DC
language English
topic Ядерно-фізичні дослідження Землі та атмосфери
Ядерно-фізичні дослідження Землі та атмосфери
spellingShingle Ядерно-фізичні дослідження Землі та атмосфери
Ядерно-фізичні дослідження Землі та атмосфери
Rusov, V.D.
Glushkov, A.V.
Vaschenko, V.N.
Zelentsova, T.N.
Mihalys, О.T.
Khokhlov, V.N.
Kolos, A.
Patlashenko, Zh.
Galactic cosmic rays-clouds effect and bifurcation model of Earth global climate
Український антарктичний журнал
description The possible physical linkage between the cosmic rays cloud and indirect aerosol effects is discussed using the analysis of the first indirect aerosol effect (Twomey effect) and its experimental representation as the dependence of mean cloud droplet effective radius versus aerosol index defining the column aerosol number. It is shown that the main kinetic equation of Earth climate energy-balance model is described by the bifurcation equation (relative to the surface temperature of the Earth) in the form of fold catastrophe with two controlling parameters defining the variations of insolation and Earth magnetic field (or cosmic rays intensity in the atmosphere) respectively. The results of comparative analysis on the time-dependent solution of Earth climate energy-balance model taking into account nontrivial role of galactic cosmic rays and the known experimental data on the paleotemperature from the Vostoc ice core are presented. In the framework of the bifurcation model (i) the possibility of abrupt glacial climate changes analogous to the Dansgaard-Oeschger events due to stochastic resonance is theoretically argued, (ii) the concept of the climatic sensitivity of water (vapour and liquid) in the atmosphere is introduced. This concept reveals the property of temperature instability in the form of so-called hysteresis loop. On the basis of this concept it is shown that the simulated time series of global ice volume over the past 730 kyr are in good agreement with time series of seawater δ¹⁸O (ice volume proxy). (iii) Also, the so-called "doubling CO₂" problem is discussed.
format Article
author Rusov, V.D.
Glushkov, A.V.
Vaschenko, V.N.
Zelentsova, T.N.
Mihalys, О.T.
Khokhlov, V.N.
Kolos, A.
Patlashenko, Zh.
author_facet Rusov, V.D.
Glushkov, A.V.
Vaschenko, V.N.
Zelentsova, T.N.
Mihalys, О.T.
Khokhlov, V.N.
Kolos, A.
Patlashenko, Zh.
author_sort Rusov, V.D.
title Galactic cosmic rays-clouds effect and bifurcation model of Earth global climate
title_short Galactic cosmic rays-clouds effect and bifurcation model of Earth global climate
title_full Galactic cosmic rays-clouds effect and bifurcation model of Earth global climate
title_fullStr Galactic cosmic rays-clouds effect and bifurcation model of Earth global climate
title_full_unstemmed Galactic cosmic rays-clouds effect and bifurcation model of Earth global climate
title_sort galactic cosmic rays-clouds effect and bifurcation model of earth global climate
publisher Національний антарктичний науковий центр МОН України
publishDate 2006
topic_facet Ядерно-фізичні дослідження Землі та атмосфери
url http://dspace.nbuv.gov.ua/handle/123456789/128260
citation_txt Galactic cosmic rays-clouds effect and bifurcation model of Earth global climate / V.D. Rusov, A.V. Glushkov, V.N. Vaschenko, T.N. Zelentsova, О.T. Mihalys, V.N. Khokhlov, A. Kolos, Zh. Patlashenko // Український антарктичний журнал. — 2006. — № 4-5. — С. 117-136. — Бібліогр.: 41 назв. — англ.
series Український антарктичний журнал
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first_indexed 2023-10-18T20:54:57Z
last_indexed 2023-10-18T20:54:57Z
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