Нужна ли Кассандра в ХХІ веке? (некоторые спорные размышления о социальном прогнозировании)
The author considers some aspects of social prognosis. The article analyzes the term "Cassandra's information" understood as a high precise prognostication with a great deal of negative information, which is often rejected. The number of illustrative examples of prognoses unaccepted b...
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| Дата: | 2009 |
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| Автор: | |
| Формат: | Стаття |
| Мова: | Ukrainian Russian |
| Опубліковано: |
Iнститут соціології НАН України
2009
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| Теми: | |
| Онлайн доступ: | http://dspace.nbuv.gov.ua/handle/123456789/5947 |
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| Назва журналу: | Digital Library of Periodicals of National Academy of Sciences of Ukraine |
| Цитувати: | Нужна ли Кассандра в ХХІ веке? (некоторые спорные размышления о социальном прогнозировании) / Б. Нагорный // Социология: теория, методы, маркетинг. — 2009. — № 2. — С.202-209. — Бібліогр.: 29 назв. — рос. |
Репозитарії
Digital Library of Periodicals of National Academy of Sciences of Ukraine| Резюме: | The author considers some aspects of social prognosis. The article analyzes the term "Cassandra's information" understood as a high precise prognostication with a great deal of negative information, which is often rejected. The number of illustrative examples of prognoses unaccepted both by public opinion and authorities are suggested. The necessity of registration of social consequences of different kinds of innovations which came into life in 10-15 years is emphasised. Some types of social indexes influencing the possible scenarios of the countries' future development are analysed. The author comes to a conclusion about necessity of complex problems decision by specialists in social prognostication in such a way: to supply objective information and, at the same time, not to enlarge the population's anxiety coefficient. |
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