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Об оценке риска катастрофического спада в стохастических моделях экономического роста
In the article stochastic models of economic growth under repetitive catastrophic risks are explored . The basic task of the article is a quantitative estimation of risk of catastrophic downturn in such models. As a measure of risk probability of production falling in percents to the initial level i...
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| Main Author: | |
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | Russian |
| Published: |
Інститут кібернетики ім. В.М. Глушкова НАН України
2007
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| Series: | Теорія оптимальних рішень |
| Online Access: | http://dspace.nbuv.gov.ua/handle/123456789/84992 |
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| Summary: | In the article stochastic models of economic growth under repetitive catastrophic risks are explored . The basic task of the article is a quantitative estimation of risk of catastrophic downturn in such models. As a measure of risk probability of production falling in percents to the initial level is taken. For this probability as a function of the degree of falling integral equalizations are derived, which are similar to integral equalizations of insurance mathematics and which are explored similarly. |
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