Стохастичне моделювання латвійських процентних ставок методом локальної регресії

The interest rates of the Latvian interbank lending market are consideved using the method of locally weighted regression of the first order. A model for interest rates is proposed and compared in prognosis quality with two standard lineas models: random walk and autoregressin. The main result of th...

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Збережено в:
Бібліографічні деталі
Видавець:The National Technical University of Ukraine "Igor Sikorsky Kyiv Polytechnic Institute"
Дата:2018
Автори: Ayevskis, V., Yansons, V.
Формат: Стаття
Мова:rus
Опубліковано: The National Technical University of Ukraine "Igor Sikorsky Kyiv Polytechnic Institute" 2018
Онлайн доступ:http://journal.iasa.kpi.ua/article/view/127657
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System research and information technologies
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Резюме:The interest rates of the Latvian interbank lending market are consideved using the method of locally weighted regression of the first order. A model for interest rates is proposed and compared in prognosis quality with two standard lineas models: random walk and autoregressin. The main result of the work is the doubtless advantage of the nonparameter model over other competitive models, which indicates the presence of nonlinearity in the dynamics of the Latvian interest rates.