Стохастичне моделювання латвійських процентних ставок методом локальної регресії

The interest rates of the Latvian interbank lending market are consideved using the method of locally weighted regression of the first order. A model for interest rates is proposed and compared in prognosis quality with two standard lineas models: random walk and autoregressin. The main result of th...

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Bibliographic Details
Date:2018
Main Authors: Ayevskis, V., Yansons, V.
Format: Article
Language:Russian
Published: The National Technical University of Ukraine "Igor Sikorsky Kyiv Polytechnic Institute" 2018
Online Access:http://journal.iasa.kpi.ua/article/view/127657
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Journal Title:System research and information technologies

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System research and information technologies
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Summary:The interest rates of the Latvian interbank lending market are consideved using the method of locally weighted regression of the first order. A model for interest rates is proposed and compared in prognosis quality with two standard lineas models: random walk and autoregressin. The main result of the work is the doubtless advantage of the nonparameter model over other competitive models, which indicates the presence of nonlinearity in the dynamics of the Latvian interest rates.