Аналіз гравітаційної хвилі Місяця та глобальної температури Землі: вплив тенденцій за часом та циклічних змін

This research examined the influence of Moon’s gravitational-wave to Earth’s global warming process and the effects of time-trend and cyclic change of the distance between Moon and Earth. In the pervious research [1], we found that the Moon’s gravitational-wave could influence the process of the Ear...

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Date:2018
Main Authors: Matsuki, Yoshio, Bidyuk, Petro I.
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Language:English
Published: The National Technical University of Ukraine "Igor Sikorsky Kyiv Polytechnic Institute" 2018
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Online Access:https://journal.iasa.kpi.ua/article/view/150065
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Journal Title:System research and information technologies
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System research and information technologies
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author Matsuki, Yoshio
Bidyuk, Petro I.
author_facet Matsuki, Yoshio
Bidyuk, Petro I.
author_sort Matsuki, Yoshio
baseUrl_str http://journal.iasa.kpi.ua/oai
collection OJS
datestamp_date 2019-01-17T13:31:43Z
description This research examined the influence of Moon’s gravitational-wave to Earth’s global warming process and the effects of time-trend and cyclic change of the distance between Moon and Earth. In the pervious research [1], we found that the Moon’s gravitational-wave could influence the process of the Earth’s global warming; and, we also found that Moon’s cyclic movement around Earth needed to be further investigated, because it gave a unique pattern of distribution in the data for the empirical analysis; while both global temperature and global carbon-dioxide increase almost linearly in the time-series. In this research we added dummy binary variables that simulate the trend of time and the cyclic changes. As a result we confirmed that the influence of Moon’s gravitational-wave is significant in the process of rising global temperature on Earth.
doi_str_mv 10.20535/SRIT.2308-8893.2018.3.02
first_indexed 2025-07-17T10:24:10Z
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fulltext  Yoshio Matsuki, Petro I. Bidyuk, 2018 Системні дослідження та інформаційні технології, 2018, № 3 19 УДК 519.004.942 DOI: 10.20535/SRIT.2308-8893.2018.3.02 ANALYSIS OF MOON’S GRAVITATIONAL-WAVE AND EARTH’S GLOBAL TEMPERATURE: INFLUENCE OF TIME- TREND AND CYCLIC CHANGE OF DISTANCE FROM MOON YOSHIO MATSUKI, PETRO I. BIDYUK Abstract. This research examined the influence of Moon’s gravitational-wave to Earth’s global warming process and the effects of time-trend and cyclic change of the distance between Moon and Earth. In the pervious research [1], we found that the Moon’s gravitational-wave could influence the process of the Earth’s global warming; and, we also found that Moon’s cyclic movement around Earth needed to be further investigated, because it gave a unique pattern of distribution in the data for the empirical analysis; while both global temperature and global carbon-dioxide increase almost linearly in the time-series. In this research we added dummy binary variables that simulate the trend of time and the cyclic changes. As a result we con- firmed that the influence of Moon’s gravitational-wave is significant in the process of rising global temperature on Earth. Keywords: global temperature, Moon’s gravitational-wave, trend removal, cyclic change. INTRODUCTION Our previous research [1] investigated the influence of Moon’s gravitational-wave to the process of Earth’s global warming with the methodology of empirical anal- ysis with the database of Earth’s global temperature and global carbon dioxide as well as the distance between Moon and Earth. Then, the result of the analysis suggested that there was a possibility such that Moon’s gravitational-wave influ- enced Earth’s atmospheric temperature than global carbon dioxide could do. However, the uncertainty of the analysis [1] was also large, due to the cyclic change of the distance between Moon and Earth. In the previous research [1], we attempted to reduce this uncertainty, by assuming pure-heteroskedasticity and the first-order autoregressive process of Generalized Classical Regression models; however, we didn’t know if these assumptions were appropriate in order to ex- plain the cyclic change of the distance between Moon and Earth. Considering the above result [1], in this research, we continued the empirical analysis of the same database with different techniques: maximum-likelihood es- timation, trend removal, and removal of the influence of the cyclic change of the distance between Moon and Earth, by adding binary variables. The gravitational-wave was a theoretical possibility when we made the pre- vious research [1]; also, we didn’t calculate the intensity of the gravitational- wave. Instead, we used the inverse of the squared distance between Moon and Earth as the surrogate of the gravitational-wave, because our mathematical meth- od uses the deviations of the values of the variables, not necessarily the intensities of physical energy. Yoshio Matsuki, Petro I. Bidyuk ISSN 1681–6048 System Research & Information Technologies, 2018, № 3 20 METHOD The descriptive statistics of the data, from 1987 till 2009, of the global tempera- ture (increased degree Celsius since 1978) [2], the global carbon dioxide (million tons) [3], the distance between Moon and Earth ( r : kilometers) [4], and calcu- lated 2 1 r ((kilometers)--22)),, are shown in Table 1. T a b l e 1 . Descriptive statistics Variable Global Temperature oC * CO2 mil. tons** Distance between Moon and Earth r, km 2 1 r , km22 Mean 0,29130 1,25165 · 103 3,62618 · 105 7,60509 · 10-12 Standard deviation 0,12125 2,14245 · 102 5,98411 · 102 2,51097 · 10-14 Minimum 0,10000 8,92000 · 102 3,61583 · 105 7,56999 · 10-12 Maximum 0,43000 1,62600 · 103 3,63483 · 105 7,64865 · 10-12 Skewness -0,21063 0,14292 -0,15249 0,15787 Kurtosis 1,29401 1,82491 1,67498 1,67879 Valid number of observations 23 23 23 23 * Increased degree Celsius since 1978. ** To convert these estimates to units of carbon dioxide (CO2), simply multiply these es- timates by 3,667 [3]. Analysis is made on the global temperature, the global CO2 and 2 1 r , with the following methods: 1. Maximum Likelihood Estimation. This method is an alternative ap- proach, beside the Least Squares Estimation of Linear Classical Regression Mod- el. The global temperature },,{ 1 nyyY  , the constant value 1 ( 1x ), the meas- ured global CO2 )( 2x , and 2 1 r ( 3x ), are transformed into the forms of 1n vectors, y , 1x , 2x , 3x , where n is the number of observation, 23. Then kn matrix },,{ 321 xxxX  is defined, where 3)(rank  Xk and X is non- stochastic. And, we assume that the data in Table 1 are samples from a real na- ture, which are multivariate normally distributed i.e. ),(~ 2IXNY  , where )(YEX  , )(2 YVI  , I is a unit matrix whose diagonal elements are 1, and non-diagonal elements are 0, and )(YE is a mean value of Y ( 2ii for all i , and that 0hi for all ih  ). And        2 exp)2()( 2 1 2 w Yf n , where  1'w ,  Y , )det( 1 2 1    , and in this model, I        2 1 1 , n)( 2 ,  XY . Analysis of Moon’s gravitational-wave and Earth’s global temperature: … Системні дослідження та інформаційні технології, 2018, № 3 21 And then         2 222 2 ' exp)()2()( nn Yf . Now, the Maximum Likelihood estimates of  and 2 are the values that maximize       )2log( 2 log n L 2 2 ' 2 1 )log( 2              n . Then L is maximized by minimizing ' with respect to  . So,  is identical to the coefficients of the Least Squares Estimation of Lin- ear Classical Regression Model ([1]). Now, inserting solution value for  makes ee''  , with XbYe  , which leaves the “concentrated log-likelihood func- tion”, as 2 222* ' 2 1 )log( 2 )2(log 2 ),()(                  eenn bLL , to be maxi- mized with respect to 2 . The first derivative is 422 ' 2 1)2(*            eenL . Equating 2 *  L to zero and solving it gives the Maximum Likelihood estimator of 2 as n ee' . 2. Trend Removal. At first, we define 11 x and tx 2 , where t is a series of time. (Here we simply use a series of the values from 1 to 23 as the values of t ). Then },{ 211 xxX  and },{ 432 xxX  , where 3x is the measured global CO2, and 4x is the 2 1 r . And then, we calculate the residuals * 2X from the regression of 2X on 1X , following the matrix algebra bellow: 111 ' XXQ  , where '1X is a transposed matrix of the matrix 1X ; 21 1 1 ' XXQb  , where 1 1 Q is an inversed matrix of the matrix 1Q ; bXX 22 ˆ  ; 22 * 2 X̂XX  . Now * 2X is the de-trended values of },{ 432 xxX  . We also calculate the de- trended values of Y (global temperature), by calculating YbY ˆ , and then YYY ˆ*  , where *Y is the de-trended values of Y . And then, we implement the Least Squares Estimation of Linear Classical Regression Model of the de-trended global temperature *Y over * 2X , with the following steps: * 2 * 2 * ' XXQ  ; ** 2 1* 1 'YXQb   ; 1 **ˆ bYY  : expected de-trended global temperature Y ; ** ŶYe  ; Yoshio Matsuki, Petro I. Bidyuk ISSN 1681–6048 System Research & Information Technologies, 2018, № 3 22 1* 11 ' )(    Q kn ee bV . And square-root of the diagonal elements of )( 1bV are the standard errors of elements of the estimated coefficient-vector, 1b . 3. Removal of Seasonal (cyclic) Influence. Moon and Earth became closer every 4 years as shown in Fig. 1. In order to remove (de-seasonalize) the influ- ence of the cyclic pattern from the explanatory variables (the measured global CO2 and 2 1 r ), at first, we define four binary dummy variables:        otherwise 0 20072003,1999,1995,1991, 1987, in 1 1x ;        otherwise 0 20082004,2000,1996,1992,1988, in 1 2x ;        otherwise 0 20092005,2001,1997,1993,1989, in 1 3x ;        otherwise0 20062002,1998,1994,1990,in 1 4x . Then we set },,,{ 43211 xxxxX  . Then we calculate the Least Squares Esti- mation of Linear Classical Regression Model of the global temperature Y over 1X in order to get residuals YYY ˆ*  , with the following steps: 11' XXQ  ; YXQb '1 1* 1  ; * 11 ˆ bXY  : expected global temperatureY ; YYY ˆ*  . Now the elements of *Y are the de-seasonalized values of global tem- perature. And then we remove the influence of the cyclic change of the distance be- tween Moon and Earth from the measured global CO2 ( 2z ), and 2 1 r ( 3z ). For this purpose, at first, we regress },{ 324 zzX  on the dummy variables 1X , to get the coefficient 41 1 11 )'( XXXXF  and residuals FXXX 14 * 4  , which removes the influence of the cyclic change of the distance between Moon and Earth from 4X . Then we make the Least Squares Estimation of the de-seasonalized variable *Y on the de-seasonalized explanatory variables * 4X , from which the influence of cyclic change of the distance between Moon and Earth has been re- moved, with the following steps: Analysis of Moon’s gravitational-wave and Earth’s global temperature: … Системні дослідження та інформаційні технології, 2018, № 3 23 * 4 * 45 ' XXQ  ; *'* 4 1 55 YXQb  ; 5 * 45 * bXYe  ; 1 5 55 5 ' )(    Q kn ee bV . And square-root of each diagonal element of )( 5bV is the standard error of each element of the estimated coefficient-vector 5b . RESULTS 1. Result of Maximum Likelihood Estimation. Table 2 and Table 3 show the result of the Maximum Likelihood Estimation. T a b l e 2 . Maximum Likelihood Estimation: coefficients and standard errors Variable Coefficient Standard error* Intercept (1) -1,17897 1,67861 · 103 CO2 5,32537 · 10-4 2,95105 · 10-2 2 1 r 1,05675 · 1011 2,19071 · 1014 *Each standard error of each coefficient is square-root of diagonal element in Table 3. T a b l e 3 . Variances and Covariances of Maximum Likelihood Estimation Variable Intercept CO2 2 1 r Intercept (1) 2,81774 · 106 -16,03004 -3,67640 · 1017 CO2 -16,03004 8,70867 · 10-4 1,95292 · 1012 2 1 r -3,67640 · 1017 1,95292 · 1012 4,79922 · 1028 2. Result of Trend Removal. At first, we made the regression of 2X on 1X . The calculated coefficient b is shown in Table 4. D is ta nc e, k m Fig. 1. Distance between Moon and Earth [1] Yoshio Matsuki, Petro I. Bidyuk ISSN 1681–6048 System Research & Information Technologies, 2018, № 3 24 T a b l e 4 . Computing b: 21 1 1 XXQb   8,75075 · 102 7,60732 · 10-12 31,38142 -1,85867 · 10-16 And then we calculated the de-trended values of },{ 432 xxX  , where 3x is CO2 and 4x is 2/1 r , by calculating bXX 22 ˆ  , and then 22 * 2 X̂XX  , where * 2X is the de-trended values of 2X . We also calculated the de-trended values of Y (global temperature), by calculating YbY ˆ , and then YYY ˆ*  , where *Y is the de-trended values of Y . The descriptive statistics of the adjusted (de-trended) values ( *Y and * 2X ) are shown in Table 5. The global temperatures before and after the removal of trend are shown in Fig. 2, and the values of CO2 and 2/1 r before and after the removal of trend are shown in Fig. 3. T a b l e 5 . Descriptive statistics of de-trended values of global temperature, CO2 and 2/1 r Variable Global Temperature o C CO2, mil. tons 2/1 r , km22 Mean -1,48809 · 10-9 -7,25622 · 10-8 -9,10100 · 10-21 Standard deviation 3,07795 · 10-2 24,50602 2,50781 · 10-14 Minimum -6,15217 · 10-2 -33,79644 -3,59113 · 10-14 Maximum 4,22332 · 10-2 60,53360 4,26366 · 10-14 Skewness -0,28508 0,41789 0,14935 Kurtosis 1,89185 2,41821 1,66733 Valid number of observations 23 23 23 Fig. 2. Global temperatures with and without trend removal ( *Y and Y ) Analysis of Moon’s gravitational-wave and Earth’s global temperature: … Системні дослідження та інформаційні технології, 2018, № 3 25 And then we calculated the Least Squares Estimation of the de-trended glob- al temperature *Y over * 2X . At first, we calculated * 2 * 2 * ' XXQ  , and ** 2 1* 1 YXQb   . Table 6 shows the calculated 1b . T a b l e 6 . Comprting 1b : ** 2 1* 1 YXQb   Variable Values of 1b Intercept* for 11 x 1b : 7,94412 · 10-2 Intercept* for tx 2 1b : 1,76544 · 10-2 CO2 -1,15220 · 10-5 2/1 r 1,89763 · 109 *To calculate 1b for the intercepts (each of 1x and 2x ), we calculated YXQb 1 1 1 *   , and then 21 1 1 XXQF   , and then 1 * 1 Fbbb  . And then we calculated ** ŶYe  and 1* 11 ' )(    Q kn ee bV to calculate the standard errors of elements of the estimated coefficient-vector 1b . Table 7 shows the calculated values of )( 1bV , and Table 8 shows the calculated values of stan- dard errors of 1b . T a b l e 7 . Comprting V: )( 1bV Variable CO2 2/1 r CO2 1,02316 · 10-9 -1,68386 · 105 2/1 r -1,68386 · 105 2,84905 · 1019 CO2 Detrented CO2 1/r2 Detrented 1/r2 Detrented 1/r 2 1/r 2 CO2 Fig. 3. Comprting CO2 and 2/1 r before and after trend removal ( 4X and * 4X ) Yoshio Matsuki, Petro I. Bidyuk ISSN 1681–6048 System Research & Information Technologies, 2018, № 3 26 T a b l e 8 . Standard errors of 1b Variable Standard errors of 1b Intercept* for 11 x 1,39138 · 10-2 Intercept* for tx 2 1,01477 · 10-3 CO2 3,19869 · 10-5 2/1 r 5,33765 · 109 *To calculate standard errors for the intercepts ( 1x and 2x ), we calculated 1 1 111 XQXN   and * 111 )( YNIe  , 1 1 11 1 ' )(    Q kn ee bV , and then calculated the square root of the diagonal element of )( 1bV . 3. Result of Removal of Seasonal (cyclic) Influence. At first, we set },,,{ 43211 xxxxX  . Then, we calculated the Least Squares Estimation of the global temperature Y over 1X in order to get the de-seasonalized values of global temperature YYY ˆ*  (Fig. 4), after calculating 11' XXQ  , YXQb '1 1* 1  (Table 9), and * 11 ˆ bXY  . T a b l e 9 . Comprting * 1b : YXQb 1 1* 1   Variable 1x 2x 3x 4x Coefficient 0,27500 0,29000 0,30500 0,29600 And then, we implemented the Least Squares Estimation of 4X on the dum- my variables 1X , to get the coefficient 41 1 11 )( XXXXF  (Table 10) and re- Fig. 4. Global temperatures with and without seasonal adjustment ( *Y and Y ) Analysis of Moon’s gravitational-wave and Earth’s global temperature: … Системні дослідження та інформаційні технології, 2018, № 3 27 siduals FXXX 14 * 4  (Fig. 5), to de-seasonalize 4X (to remove the influence of the cyclic change of the distance between Moon and Earth from 4X ). ( },{ 324 zzX  , where 2z is the measured global CO2, and 3z is 2/1 r ). Table 11 shows descriptive statistics of de-seasonalized values of global temperature, CO2 and 2/1 r . T a b l e 1 0 . Coefficient F Variable CO2 2/1 r 1x 1,21717 · 103 7,60012 · 10-12 2x 1,26083 · 103 7,58701 · 10-12 3x 1,27717 · 103 7,61690 · 10-12 4x 1,25140 · 103 7,61857 · 10-12 T a b l e 1 1 . Descriptive statistics of de-seasonalized values of global tempera- ture, CO2 and 2/1 r Variable De-seasonalized global temperature, oC De-seasonalized CO2, mil. tons De-seasonalized 2/1 r , km Mean -3,64431 · 10-10 -5,80497 · 10-5 1,13682 · 10-20 Standard deviation 0,12072 2,13017 · 102 2,13368 · 10-14 Minimum -0,17500 -3,25833 · 102 -4,33389 · 10-14 Maximum 0,14500 3,65167 · 102 4,30634 · 10-14 Skewness -0,19145 0,15571 9,76442 · 10-2 Kurtosis 1,28736 1,79673 2,29807 Valid number of observations 23 23 23 CO2 De-seasonanalized CO2 1/r2 De-seasonanalized 1/r2 1/r 2 CO2 Fig. 5. Values of CO2 and 2/1 r after removal of the influence of the cyclic change ( 4X and * 4X ) Yoshio Matsuki, Petro I. Bidyuk ISSN 1681–6048 System Research & Information Technologies, 2018, № 3 28 Then we implemented the Least Squares Estimation of the de-seasonalized global temperature *Y on the de-seasonalized explanatory variables * 4X , from which the influence of cyclic movement of Moon has been removed. Table 12 shows the result of the Least Squares Estimation. T a b l e 1 2 . Result of the Least Squares Estimation of *Y on the de-seasonalized explanatory variables * 4X Parameter Coefficient Standard error 1st cycle -0,77339 5,16897 · 10-2 2nd cycle -0,78101 5,16897 · 10-2 3rd cycle -0,77630 5,16897 · 10-2 Intercept * 4th cycle -0,77163 5,66233 · 10-2 CO2 5,33726 · 10-4 4,29402 · 10-5 2/1 r 5,24677 · 1010 4,28696 · 1011 *To get the coefficients of intercepts for 4 periods of the cycle, at first we calculated YXQb 1 1* 1  , and then, 2 * 11 Fbbb  , where 2b is the coefficients of CO2 and 2/1 r in Table 12. And, to get the standard errors for the intercepts, we calculated YQXN 1 11  and YNIe )( 111  , 111 1)(     Q kn ee bV , and then calculated the square root of the di- agonal element of )( 1bV . ANALYSIS OF THE RESULTS In this research, we investigated influence of the trend (time) and the cyclic change of the distance between Moon and Earth. For this purpose, we set dummy binary variables, which replaced the intercept vectors of the Classical Regression Model, and then we calculated the coefficients of the Least Square Estimations between these binary variables and the global temperature and the explanatory variables (CO2 and 2 1 r ), and then, we calculated expected influences to those variables from each of the trend (time) and the cyclic change; and then, we sub- tracted those expected values from the original values of the variables, in order to make the de-trended variables and the de-seasonalized variables. As the result, we observed that the coefficient of 2/1 r is larger than the coefficient of CO2. This ob- servation suggests that there is the influence of Moon’s gravitational-wave to Earth’s global temperature, which we also observed in our previous research [1]. In addition, the Maximum Likelihood Estimation shows almost as same val- ues of the coefficients as in the Least Squares Estimation of Linear Classical Re- gression Model [1], while their standard errors of the coefficients are larger than those of the Least Squares Estimation. These differences of the standard errors are due to the difference of the algorithm of these two approaches: the values of the standard errors of the Least Squares Estimation are algebraically calculated, while the values of the Maximum Likelihood Estimation were searched numerically. Analysis of Moon’s gravitational-wave and Earth’s global temperature: … Системні дослідження та інформаційні технології, 2018, № 3 29 With the trend removal, the coefficient of global CO2 became negative, be- cause this process deformed the values of the global temperature and CO2, as Fig. 2, 3 show. Table 13, Table 14 and Table 15 show the results of the analysis, including the results of our previous research [1]. Among these 7 models in Table 13, 14, 15, the Pure Heteroskedasticity model and the Cobb-Douglas model (non-linear) show the larger coefficient of CO2 than to the coefficient of 2 1 r . Here, the Pure Heteroskedastic model assumes uneven distribution of the data, although the de- viations of the values do not reflect the uneven distributions of global temperature and CO2, which are as shown from Fig. 2–5; therefore, this model does not de- scribe the data correctly. Also, the Cobb-Douglas model does not describe the distributions of the global temperature and CO2, which are almost linearly distrib- uted as Fig. 2, 3 show. On the other hand, the values of 2 1 r are on a same curve, therefore they are neither uniformly distributed, nor unevenly distributed; and, we conclude that this characteristic of 2 1 r gives the relatively large standard errors of the coefficient of 2 1 r . T a b l e 1 3 . Comparison of calculated coefficients and standard errors Variable and coeficients Classical Regression [1] Maximum Likelihood Estimation Trend removal Removal of seasonal (cyclic) influence Intercept -1,17863 -1,17897 See Table 6 See Table 12 CO2 5,33150 · 10-4 5,32537 · 10-4 -1,15220 · 10-5 5,33726 · 10-4 Coefficient 2/1 r * 1,05537 · 1011 1,05675 · 1011 1,89763 · 109 5,24677 · 1010 Intercept 2,77830 1,67861 · 103 See Table 8 See Table 12 CO2 4,27704 · 10-5 2,95105 · 10-2 3,19869 · 10-5 4,29402 · 10-5 Standard error 2/1 r ** 3,64933 · 1011 2,19071 · 1014 5,33765 · 109 4,28696 · 1011 * : ** 1 ; 3,46 1 ;: 2070 1;: 2,81 1 ;: 8,17 T a b l e 1 4 . Coefficients and standard errors of the coefficients in Generalized Classical Regression Model [1] Pure Heteroskedasticity First-Order Autoregressive Process Variable Coefficient Standard error Coefficient Standard error for 1 ( 1x ) -9,72055 22,91283 0,37507 0,78957 for Carbon dioxide ( 2x ) 0,94202 7,55710 · 10-2 1,36503 · 10-5 1,17412 · 10-4 for 2 1 r ( 3x ) 2,18557 · 10-2 * 7,55709 · 10-3 ** 6,61708 · 109 * 9,71690 · 1010 ** * : ** 2,89 : 1 1 : 14,7 Yoshio Matsuki, Petro I. Bidyuk ISSN 1681–6048 System Research & Information Technologies, 2018, № 3 30 T a b l e 1 5 . Coefficients of Cobb-Douglas model, 3 321 2 bb xxby  [1] Coefficients Estimated coefficient Standard error 1b , coefficient of 1 0,000103 0,02761 2b , coefficient of 2x 2,126546 0,23431 3b , coefficient of 3x 0,283107 * 10,62035 ** * :** 1 : 37,5. Note: y : global temperature; 2x : carbon-dioxide; 23 1 : r x . CONCLUSION AND RECOMMENDATION We have examined the potential influence of Moon’s gravitational-wave to Earth’s global temperature, in comparison with global CO2, using 7 mathematical models for the empirical analysis. As the result, the influence of Moon’s gravita- tional-wave was found to have some relation with Earth’s temperature rise, with the Least Squares Estimation of Classical Regression Model, the First-Order Au- toregressive Process of Generalized Classical Regression Model, the Maximum Likelihood Estimation, the Least Squares Estimation after the removal of trend (time), and after the removal of seasonal (cyclic) influence; while, the assumption of Pure Heteroskecasticity and Cobb-Douglas model (non-linear) are not appro- priate for this analysis, in regard to the linearly distributed Earth’s global tem- perature and global CO2 in time series. The further study is needed to identify the meaning of the uncertain relation between the inverse of squared distance between Moon and Earth and Earth’s temperature rise. REFERENCE 1. Matsuki Y. Empirical analysis of moon’s gravitational wave and earth’s global warming / Y. Matsuki, P.I. Bidyuk // System Research & Information Technol- ogy. — 2018. — N 1. — P. 107–118. 2. UK Department of Energy and Climate Change (DECC). — Available at: http://en.openei.org/datasets/dataset/b52057cc-5d38-4630-8395-b5948509f764/ resource/f42998a9-071e-4f96-be52-7d2a3e5ecef3/download/england.surface. temp1772. 2009.xls 3. Boden T.A. Global Regional and National Fossil-Fuel CO2 Emissions / T.A. Boden, G. Marland, R.J. Andres. — Available at: cdiac.orbl.gov/trends/emits/ tre_glob.html cdiac.ornl.gov/trends/emits/tre_glob.html (last access, 8 August 2017) 4. Moon Distance Calculator – How Close is Moon to Earth? — Available at: https://www.timeanddate.com/astronomy/moon/distance.html?year=1987&n=367. Received 02.05.2018 From the Editorial Board: the article corresponds completely to submitted manuscript.
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spelling journaliasakpiua-article-1500652019-01-17T13:31:43Z Analysis of Moon’s gravitational – wave and Earth’s global temperature: influence of time – frend and cyclic change of distance from Moon Анализ гравитационной волны Луны и глобальной температуры Земли: влияние тенденций по времени и циклических изменений Аналіз гравітаційної хвилі Місяця та глобальної температури Землі: вплив тенденцій за часом та циклічних змін Matsuki, Yoshio Bidyuk, Petro I. global temperature Moon’s gravitational-wave trend removal cyclic change глобальная температура гравитационная волна Луны удаление тренда циклическое изменение глобальна температура гравітаційна хвиля Місяця видалення тренду циклічна зміна This research examined the influence of Moon’s gravitational-wave to Earth’s global warming process and the effects of time-trend and cyclic change of the distance between Moon and Earth. In the pervious research [1], we found that the Moon’s gravitational-wave could influence the process of the Earth’s global warming; and, we also found that Moon’s cyclic movement around Earth needed to be further investigated, because it gave a unique pattern of distribution in the data for the empirical analysis; while both global temperature and global carbon-dioxide increase almost linearly in the time-series. In this research we added dummy binary variables that simulate the trend of time and the cyclic changes. As a result we confirmed that the influence of Moon’s gravitational-wave is significant in the process of rising global temperature on Earth. Проверено влияние гравитационной волны на процесс глобального потепления на Земле и эффекты от тенденций по времени и циклических изменений расстояния между Луной и Землей. В исследовании [1] обнаружено, что гравитационная волна Луны могла бы повлиять на процесс глобального потепления на Земле; кроме того, сделан вывод, что циклическое движение Луны вокруг Земли необходимо исследовать более подробно, поскольку оно обеспечивает уникальную схему распределения данных для эмпирического анализа, влияя в то же время как на глобальную температуру, так и на глобальное увеличение углекислого газа линейно во временных рядах. Добавлены контрольные бинарные переменные, симулирующие тенденции по времени и циклические изменения. В результате подтверджено, что гравитационное волне Луны имеет важное значение в процессе повышения глобальной температуры на Земле. Перевірено вплив гравітаційної хвилі на процес глобального потепління на Землі та ефекти від тенденцій за часом та циклічних змін відстані між Місяцем та Землею. У дослідженні [1] виявлено, що гравітаційна хвиля Місяця могла б вплинути на процес глобального потепління на Землі; крім того, зроблено висновок, що циклічний рух Місяця навколо Землі необхідно дослідити більш детально, оскільки він забезпечує унікальну схему розподілу даних для емпіричного аналізу, впливаючи водночас як на глобальну температуру, так і на глобальне збільшення вуглекислого газу лінійно у часових рядах. Додано контрольні бінарні змінні, що симулюють тенденції за часом та циклічні зміни. У результаті підтверджено, що гравітаційна хвиля Місяця має важливе значення у процесі підвищення глобальної температури на Землі. The National Technical University of Ukraine "Igor Sikorsky Kyiv Polytechnic Institute" 2018-10-16 Article Article application/pdf https://journal.iasa.kpi.ua/article/view/150065 10.20535/SRIT.2308-8893.2018.3.02 System research and information technologies; No. 3 (2018); 19-30 Системные исследования и информационные технологии; № 3 (2018); 19-30 Системні дослідження та інформаційні технології; № 3 (2018); 19-30 2308-8893 1681-6048 en https://journal.iasa.kpi.ua/article/view/150065/149271 Copyright (c) 2021 System research and information technologies
spellingShingle глобальна температура
гравітаційна хвиля Місяця
видалення тренду
циклічна зміна
Matsuki, Yoshio
Bidyuk, Petro I.
Аналіз гравітаційної хвилі Місяця та глобальної температури Землі: вплив тенденцій за часом та циклічних змін
title Аналіз гравітаційної хвилі Місяця та глобальної температури Землі: вплив тенденцій за часом та циклічних змін
title_alt Analysis of Moon’s gravitational – wave and Earth’s global temperature: influence of time – frend and cyclic change of distance from Moon
Анализ гравитационной волны Луны и глобальной температуры Земли: влияние тенденций по времени и циклических изменений
title_full Аналіз гравітаційної хвилі Місяця та глобальної температури Землі: вплив тенденцій за часом та циклічних змін
title_fullStr Аналіз гравітаційної хвилі Місяця та глобальної температури Землі: вплив тенденцій за часом та циклічних змін
title_full_unstemmed Аналіз гравітаційної хвилі Місяця та глобальної температури Землі: вплив тенденцій за часом та циклічних змін
title_short Аналіз гравітаційної хвилі Місяця та глобальної температури Землі: вплив тенденцій за часом та циклічних змін
title_sort аналіз гравітаційної хвилі місяця та глобальної температури землі: вплив тенденцій за часом та циклічних змін
topic глобальна температура
гравітаційна хвиля Місяця
видалення тренду
циклічна зміна
topic_facet global temperature
Moon’s gravitational-wave
trend removal
cyclic change
глобальная температура
гравитационная волна Луны
удаление тренда
циклическое изменение
глобальна температура
гравітаційна хвиля Місяця
видалення тренду
циклічна зміна
url https://journal.iasa.kpi.ua/article/view/150065
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AT matsukiyoshio analizgravitacionnojvolnylunyiglobalʹnojtemperaturyzemlivliânietendencijpovremeniicikličeskihizmenenij
AT bidyukpetroi analizgravitacionnojvolnylunyiglobalʹnojtemperaturyzemlivliânietendencijpovremeniicikličeskihizmenenij
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