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Побудова та використання моделей гетероскедастических процесів для моделювання і прогнозування фінансових ризиків
The problem of modelling and forecasting financial risks on the basis of heteroscedastic models is considered. The generalized procedure for construction of such models is proposed. On a particular example the efficiency of use of the procedure is shown. The forecast of behaviour of the variance for...
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Main Author: | |
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Format: | Article |
Language: | Ukrainian |
Published: |
The National Technical University of Ukraine "Igor Sikorsky Kyiv Polytechnic Institute"
2019
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Online Access: | http://journal.iasa.kpi.ua/article/view/173382 |
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Summary: | The problem of modelling and forecasting financial risks on the basis of heteroscedastic models is considered. The generalized procedure for construction of such models is proposed. On a particular example the efficiency of use of the procedure is shown. The forecast of behaviour of the variance for the stock prices of the "UKRNAFTA" company is computed. |
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