Прогнозування динамічних VaR і CVaR на основі квінтильної регресії з використанням металог розподілу

The paper proposes a new method of dynamic VaR and CVaR (ES) risk measures forecasting. Quantile linear GARCH model is chosen as the main forecasting model for time series quantiles. To build a forecast, the values of quantiles are approximated by the metalog distribution, which makes it possible to...

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Bibliographic Details
Date:2021
Main Authors: Zrazhevsky, Grigoriy, Zrazhevska, Vira
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: The National Technical University of Ukraine "Igor Sikorsky Kyiv Polytechnic Institute" 2021
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Online Access:http://journal.iasa.kpi.ua/article/view/236942
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Journal Title:System research and information technologies

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System research and information technologies