Алгоритм прогнозування курсу криптовалюти з урахуванням впливу дописів групи відомих людей в соціальних мережах

This article presents an algorithm for predicting the rate of a selected cryptocurrency, taking into account the posts of a group of famous people in a particular social network. The celebrities chosen as experts, i.e., famous personalities whose posts on social networks were studied, are either fam...

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Bibliographic Details
Date:2023
Main Authors: Bidyuk, Petro, Gavrilenko, Olena, Myagkyi, Mykhailo
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: The National Technical University of Ukraine "Igor Sikorsky Kyiv Polytechnic Institute" 2023
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Online Access:http://journal.iasa.kpi.ua/article/view/285400
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Journal Title:System research and information technologies

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System research and information technologies
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Summary:This article presents an algorithm for predicting the rate of a selected cryptocurrency, taking into account the posts of a group of famous people in a particular social network. The celebrities chosen as experts, i.e., famous personalities whose posts on social networks were studied, are either familiar with the financial industry, particularly the cryptocurrency market, or some cryptocurrency. The dataset used was the actual rates of the cryptocurrency in question for the selected period and the statistics of expert posts in the selected social network. The study used methods such as the full probability formula and the Bayesian formula. It was found that posts by famous people on social media differently affected cryptocurrency rates. The “main” expert was identified, and his posts were used to forecast the selected cryptocurrency’s rate.