About scientific basis of shortterm earthquake prediction

Critical review of existing methods of shortterm earthquake prediction and some results of mathematical modeling of the processes of fracturing in lithosphere is developed. General scientific methodology of shortterm prediction is formulated including five necessary and two sufficient conditions inc...

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Datum:2013
Hauptverfasser: Strakhov, V.N., Savin, M.
Format: Artikel
Sprache:Russisch
Veröffentlicht: S. Subbotin Institute of Geophysics of the NAS of Ukraine 2013
Online Zugang:https://journals.uran.ua/geofizicheskiy/article/view/111319
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Geofizicheskiy Zhurnal
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author Strakhov, V.N.
Savin, M.
author_facet Strakhov, V.N.
Savin, M.
author_sort Strakhov, V.N.
baseUrl_str
collection OJS
datestamp_date 2020-10-07T10:46:54Z
description Critical review of existing methods of shortterm earthquake prediction and some results of mathematical modeling of the processes of fracturing in lithosphere is developed. General scientific methodology of shortterm prediction is formulated including five necessary and two sufficient conditions increasing probability of the forecast of seismic event according to the authors1 opinion. Vital necessity is underlined of immediate creation of areal complex observation net for geophysical monitoring of the focus of imminent destructive earthquake as well as artificial intellect to implement rank recognition of seismic situation in automatic regime. Attention is paid to making demands to computing instruments for equipping observation net (clusters of powerful computers). Conclusion is made on the necessity of creation of special federal Program, with a task of producing the system of shortterm prediction of the earthquakes.
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spelling journalsuranua-geofizicheskiy-article-1113192020-10-07T10:46:54Z About scientific basis of shortterm earthquake prediction Strakhov, V.N. Savin, M. Critical review of existing methods of shortterm earthquake prediction and some results of mathematical modeling of the processes of fracturing in lithosphere is developed. General scientific methodology of shortterm prediction is formulated including five necessary and two sufficient conditions increasing probability of the forecast of seismic event according to the authors1 opinion. Vital necessity is underlined of immediate creation of areal complex observation net for geophysical monitoring of the focus of imminent destructive earthquake as well as artificial intellect to implement rank recognition of seismic situation in automatic regime. Attention is paid to making demands to computing instruments for equipping observation net (clusters of powerful computers). Conclusion is made on the necessity of creation of special federal Program, with a task of producing the system of shortterm prediction of the earthquakes. S. Subbotin Institute of Geophysics of the NAS of Ukraine 2013-03-01 Article Article application/pdf https://journals.uran.ua/geofizicheskiy/article/view/111319 10.24028/gzh.0203-3100.v35i2.2013.111319 Geofizicheskiy Zhurnal; Vol. 35 No. 2 (2013); 18-23 Геофизический журнал; Том 35 № 2 (2013); 18-23 Геофізичний журнал; Том 35 № 2 (2013); 18-23 2524-1052 0203-3100 ru https://journals.uran.ua/geofizicheskiy/article/view/111319/106340 Copyright (c) 2020 Geofizicheskiy Zhurnal https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0
spellingShingle Strakhov, V.N.
Savin, M.
About scientific basis of shortterm earthquake prediction
title About scientific basis of shortterm earthquake prediction
title_full About scientific basis of shortterm earthquake prediction
title_fullStr About scientific basis of shortterm earthquake prediction
title_full_unstemmed About scientific basis of shortterm earthquake prediction
title_short About scientific basis of shortterm earthquake prediction
title_sort about scientific basis of shortterm earthquake prediction
url https://journals.uran.ua/geofizicheskiy/article/view/111319
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