About phenomenological models and seismic prediction: is pessimism justified, are hopes based

Some problems and methods of modeling and seismic activity forecast are considered. Attention is concentrated on phenomenological approach. Ontological complexity of the real geomedium studies is underlined — the open nonlinear dissipative dynamic system — and multifactor way of undergo of external...

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Бібліографічні деталі
Дата:2013
Автор: Shuman, V.N.
Формат: Стаття
Мова:rus
Опубліковано: Subbotin Institute of Geophysics of the NAS of Ukraine 2013
Онлайн доступ:https://journals.uran.ua/geofizicheskiy/article/view/111338
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Назва журналу:Geofizicheskiy Zhurnal

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Geofizicheskiy Zhurnal
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spelling journalsuranua-geofizicheskiy-article-1113382020-10-07T10:46:54Z About phenomenological models and seismic prediction: is pessimism justified, are hopes based Shuman, V.N. Some problems and methods of modeling and seismic activity forecast are considered. Attention is concentrated on phenomenological approach. Ontological complexity of the real geomedium studies is underlined — the open nonlinear dissipative dynamic system — and multifactor way of undergo of external physical fields. Recital is based on the fact that selforganized critical systems are slightly chaotic ones. It is sufficient that in contrast to completely chaotic ones such systems are in principle relatively longterm predictable. It brings to the solution of the problem definite perspectives, and to the analysis of temporal sets (observed ones) having fractal structure — important details. Subbotin Institute of Geophysics of the NAS of Ukraine 2013-03-01 Article Article application/pdf https://journals.uran.ua/geofizicheskiy/article/view/111338 10.24028/gzh.0203-3100.v35i2.2013.111338 Geofizicheskiy Zhurnal; Vol. 35 No. 2 (2013); 24-37 Геофизический журнал; Том 35 № 2 (2013); 24-37 Геофізичний журнал; Том 35 № 2 (2013); 24-37 2524-1052 0203-3100 rus https://journals.uran.ua/geofizicheskiy/article/view/111338/106341 Copyright (c) 2020 Geofizicheskiy Zhurnal https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0
institution Geofizicheskiy Zhurnal
collection OJS
language rus
format Article
author Shuman, V.N.
spellingShingle Shuman, V.N.
About phenomenological models and seismic prediction: is pessimism justified, are hopes based
author_facet Shuman, V.N.
author_sort Shuman, V.N.
title About phenomenological models and seismic prediction: is pessimism justified, are hopes based
title_short About phenomenological models and seismic prediction: is pessimism justified, are hopes based
title_full About phenomenological models and seismic prediction: is pessimism justified, are hopes based
title_fullStr About phenomenological models and seismic prediction: is pessimism justified, are hopes based
title_full_unstemmed About phenomenological models and seismic prediction: is pessimism justified, are hopes based
title_sort about phenomenological models and seismic prediction: is pessimism justified, are hopes based
description Some problems and methods of modeling and seismic activity forecast are considered. Attention is concentrated on phenomenological approach. Ontological complexity of the real geomedium studies is underlined — the open nonlinear dissipative dynamic system — and multifactor way of undergo of external physical fields. Recital is based on the fact that selforganized critical systems are slightly chaotic ones. It is sufficient that in contrast to completely chaotic ones such systems are in principle relatively longterm predictable. It brings to the solution of the problem definite perspectives, and to the analysis of temporal sets (observed ones) having fractal structure — important details.
publisher Subbotin Institute of Geophysics of the NAS of Ukraine
publishDate 2013
url https://journals.uran.ua/geofizicheskiy/article/view/111338
work_keys_str_mv AT shumanvn aboutphenomenologicalmodelsandseismicpredictionispessimismjustifiedarehopesbased
first_indexed 2024-04-21T19:40:16Z
last_indexed 2024-04-21T19:40:16Z
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