Modeling of a Process of Capacity Development in Power Systems

• Main Author: Дячук, Олександр
• Format: Article
• Language: Ukrainian
• Published: Кам'янець-Подільський національний університет імені Івана Огієнка 2021
• Online Access: http://mcm-math.kpnu.edu.ua/article/view/251162

The paper is devoted to mathematical modeling of the process of installation of different types of electricity generating capacities for solving planning issues, including for the long term period, and management of development of power systems. The topicality of the work is that according to the latest international research and agreements to limit global temperature rise to 1.5 ° C above pre-industrial levels, all countries must achieve net zero GHG emissions in 2050-2060, which will require, including, significant changes in the management and strategic planning of power sector development, which should be based on detailed calculations using mathematical models and computer tools. This paper proposes the use of an integrated modeling method using integrated Voltaire-type equations with variable limits to develop a strategy for introducing different generating capacity of power systems in the long term periods, taking into account fuel and capital constraints, power plant life, and replacing obsolete technologies with new ones. The method can be also applied to other practical issues, such as maximizing the reliability of power systems, optimizing the time of their modernization, etc.