Моделювання оптимальних схем вакцинації населення з використанням епідеміологічних даних

Considered creation of a mathematical and computer model of the various infectious diseases and epidemics’ spread problem. The developed system uses an epidemiological SISV computer model. The proposed model gives an opportunity to determine the optimal individual and social costs for vaccine prophy...

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Datum:2019
Hauptverfasser: Soloviov, Sergey, Bandurka, Olena
Format: Artikel
Sprache:English
Veröffentlicht: Kamianets-Podilskyi National Ivan Ohiienko University 2019
Online Zugang:http://mcm-tech.kpnu.edu.ua/article/view/184513
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Назва журналу:Mathematical and computer modelling. Series: Technical sciences

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Mathematical and computer modelling. Series: Technical sciences
Beschreibung
Zusammenfassung:Considered creation of a mathematical and computer model of the various infectious diseases and epidemics’ spread problem. The developed system uses an epidemiological SISV computer model. The proposed model gives an opportunity to determine the optimal individual and social costs for vaccine prophylaxis The article analyses the positivity of such a model under the proposed vaccination strategy. SISV (Susceptible-Infectious-Susceptible-Vaccinated)-model, where infection does not confer immunity (or there is waning immunity) with inclusion of vaccination. The software uses epidemiological models that allow us to explore the process of spreading infectious diseases, to make a forecast for the future, to determine the effectiveness of vaccine prophylaxis, to select optimal vaccination schemes using epidemiological data. Due to the use of epidemiological models a timely prevention of infectious diseases epidemics is possible.