Use of time series models to forecast the evolution of corrosion pit in steel rebars

This paper presents the time series method to forecast the evolution of pitting depth in corroded reinforcing steel bars. Basic time series analysis models are introduced, and the method for establishing the autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) model is described through an example. Base...

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Bibliographic Details
Published in:Functional Materials
Date:2016
Main Author: Xu Yidong
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: НТК «Інститут монокристалів» НАН України 2016
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Online Access:https://nasplib.isofts.kiev.ua/handle/123456789/121415
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Journal Title:Digital Library of Periodicals of National Academy of Sciences of Ukraine
Cite this:Use of time series models to forecast the evolution of corrosion pit in steel rebars / Xu Yidong // Functional Materials. — 2016. — Т. 23, № 3. — С. 457-462. — Бібліогр.: 15 назв. — англ.

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Digital Library of Periodicals of National Academy of Sciences of Ukraine
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Summary:This paper presents the time series method to forecast the evolution of pitting depth in corroded reinforcing steel bars. Basic time series analysis models are introduced, and the method for establishing the autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) model is described through an example. Based on ARIMA model, the pitting depth in reinforcing steel bars under two different corrosion environments is predicted. The results show that ARIMA model can describe the variation tendency of pitting depth in corroded reinforcing steel bars quantitatively. The predicted values and the observed ones are in good conformity.
ISSN:1027-5495