Mathematical modeling of priorities and costs of Vernadsky station infrastructure modernisation
Objective. The topical issue of Ukrainian Antarctic Akademik Vernadsky Station infrastructure system modernization was investigated to prevent accidents and failures of the infrastructure constituent elements, to Antarctica environmental conservation, and to carrying out of Ukraine’ international ob...
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Kuzko, O.V. Lukiashchenko, V.D. Leonov, M.A. 2019-01-31T18:46:50Z 2019-01-31T18:46:50Z 2017 Mathematical modeling of priorities and costs of Vernadsky station infrastructure modernisation / O.V. Kuzko, V.D. Lukiashchenko, M.A. Leonov // Український антарктичний журнал. — 2017. — № 16. — С. 218-225. — Бібліогр.: 6 назв. — англ. 1727-7485 https://nasplib.isofts.kiev.ua/handle/123456789/145853 593.3 Objective. The topical issue of Ukrainian Antarctic Akademik Vernadsky Station infrastructure system modernization was investigated to prevent accidents and failures of the infrastructure constituent elements, to Antarctica environmental conservation, and to carrying out of Ukraine’ international obligations in Antarctica. Мета. Дослідження актуального питання модернізації системи інфраструктур Української антарктичної станції «Академік Вернадський» з метою попередження аварій та виходу з ладу елементів інфраструктури, збереження навколишнього середовища в Антарктиці та виконання Україною міжнародних зобов’язань в Антарктиці. Цель. Исследование актуального вопроса модернизации системы инфраструктуры Украинской антарктической станции «Академик Вернадский» с целью предупреждения аварий и выхода из строя элементов инфраструктуры, сохранения окружающей среды в Антарктике и выполнения Украиной международных обязательств в Антарктике. en Національний антарктичний науковий центр МОН України Український антарктичний журнал Міжнародне співробітництво: суспільно-географічні та політико-правові аспекти освоєння Антарктики Mathematical modeling of priorities and costs of Vernadsky station infrastructure modernisation Математичне моделювання пріоритетів і вартості модернізації інфраструктури станції «Академік Вернадський» Математическое моделирование приоритетов и стоимости модернизаци инфраструктуры станци «Академик Вернадский» Article published earlier |
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Mathematical modeling of priorities and costs of Vernadsky station infrastructure modernisation |
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Mathematical modeling of priorities and costs of Vernadsky station infrastructure modernisation Kuzko, O.V. Lukiashchenko, V.D. Leonov, M.A. Міжнародне співробітництво: суспільно-географічні та політико-правові аспекти освоєння Антарктики |
| title_short |
Mathematical modeling of priorities and costs of Vernadsky station infrastructure modernisation |
| title_full |
Mathematical modeling of priorities and costs of Vernadsky station infrastructure modernisation |
| title_fullStr |
Mathematical modeling of priorities and costs of Vernadsky station infrastructure modernisation |
| title_full_unstemmed |
Mathematical modeling of priorities and costs of Vernadsky station infrastructure modernisation |
| title_sort |
mathematical modeling of priorities and costs of vernadsky station infrastructure modernisation |
| author |
Kuzko, O.V. Lukiashchenko, V.D. Leonov, M.A. |
| author_facet |
Kuzko, O.V. Lukiashchenko, V.D. Leonov, M.A. |
| topic |
Міжнародне співробітництво: суспільно-географічні та політико-правові аспекти освоєння Антарктики |
| topic_facet |
Міжнародне співробітництво: суспільно-географічні та політико-правові аспекти освоєння Антарктики |
| publishDate |
2017 |
| language |
English |
| container_title |
Український антарктичний журнал |
| publisher |
Національний антарктичний науковий центр МОН України |
| format |
Article |
| title_alt |
Математичне моделювання пріоритетів і вартості модернізації інфраструктури станції «Академік Вернадський» Математическое моделирование приоритетов и стоимости модернизаци инфраструктуры станци «Академик Вернадский» |
| description |
Objective. The topical issue of Ukrainian Antarctic Akademik Vernadsky Station infrastructure system modernization was investigated to prevent accidents and failures of the infrastructure constituent elements, to Antarctica environmental conservation, and to carrying out of Ukraine’ international obligations in Antarctica.
Мета. Дослідження актуального питання модернізації системи інфраструктур Української антарктичної станції «Академік Вернадський» з метою попередження аварій та виходу з ладу елементів інфраструктури, збереження навколишнього середовища в Антарктиці та виконання Україною міжнародних зобов’язань в Антарктиці.
Цель. Исследование актуального вопроса модернизации системы инфраструктуры Украинской антарктической станции «Академик Вернадский» с целью предупреждения аварий и выхода из строя элементов инфраструктуры, сохранения окружающей среды в Антарктике и выполнения Украиной международных обязательств в Антарктике.
|
| issn |
1727-7485 |
| url |
https://nasplib.isofts.kiev.ua/handle/123456789/145853 |
| citation_txt |
Mathematical modeling of priorities and costs of Vernadsky station infrastructure modernisation / O.V. Kuzko, V.D. Lukiashchenko, M.A. Leonov // Український антарктичний журнал. — 2017. — № 16. — С. 218-225. — Бібліогр.: 6 назв. — англ. |
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2025-11-24T18:45:30Z |
| last_indexed |
2025-11-24T18:45:30Z |
| _version_ |
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| fulltext |
УКРАЇНСЬКИЙ АНТАРКТИЧНИЙ ЖУРНАЛ
УАЖ, №16, 218—225 (2017)
218
UDC 593.3
MATHEMATICAL MODELING OF PRIORITIES AND COSTS OF VERNADSKY
STATION INFRASTRUCTURE MODERNISATION
O. V. Kuzko, V. D. Lukiashchenko, M. A. Leonov
State Institution National Antarctic Scientific Center, Ministry of Education and Science of Ukraine, 16 Tarasa
Shevchenka Blvd., Kyiv, 01601, Ukraine, uackuzko@ukr.net
Abstract. Objective. The topical issue of Ukrainian Antarctic Akademik Vernadsky Station infrastructure system modernization
was investigated to prevent accidents and failures of the infrastructure constituent elements, to Antarctica environmental
conservation, and to carrying out of Ukraine’ international obligations in Antarctica. Methods. The Antarctic Treaty Consultative
Meeting (ATCM-XXXIII) adopted Resolution 3 (2010) with the Check List A to verify by the international inspections,
particularly, the technical conditions of Antarctic stations infrastructures. The authors used both this Check List A and the
mathematical modelling of the hierarchies study (Saaty, 2008) to obtain the quantitative characteristics of priorities and costs of
Vernadsky station infrastructure modernization. Mathematical modelling was done in three stages: preparing of the two matrices
(for priorities and costs) with the list of the station infrastructure elements; filling the matrices by expert estimates of successive
pairwise comparison of importance (priorities and costs) of infrastructure each elements according to ranks from 0 to 9 (subject
to conditions, particularly, if aij = 1, then aji = 1/aij); eigenvalues calculating of obtained matrices which after the normalization
procedures gave the necessary quantitative characteristics. Results. Quantitative results on the priorities and cost of Vernadsky
station infrastructure modernization were obtained. Conclusions. The obtained results will be used to the feasibility study
justification of the station infrastructure modernization, to the argumentation and decision-making by the executive authorities of
Ukraine, to inform the general public of Ukraine. In addition, the obtained results will contribute to the further development and
implementation of other approaches to assessing the priorities and costs of Vernadsky station infrastructure modernization.
Key words: Vernadsky station infrastructure, modernization, quantitative characteristics of priorities and costs, mathematical
modeling.
МатеМатичне Моделювання пріоритетів і вартості Модернізації
інфраструктури станції «акадеМік вернадський»
О. В. Кузько, В. Д. Лук’ященко, М. А. Леонов
Державна установа Національний антарктичний науковий центр Міністерства освіти і науки України,
м. Київ; uackuzko@ukr.net
реферат. Мета. Дослідження актуального питання модернізації системи інфраструктур Української антарктичної
станції «Академік Вернадський» з метою попередження аварій та виходу з ладу елементів інфраструктури, збереження
навколишнього середовища в Антарктиці та виконання Україною міжнародних зобов’язань в Антарктиці. Метод.
Консультативна нарада з Договору про Антарктику (КНДА-XXXIII) прийняла Resolution 3 (2010) з Контрольним
переліком А для перевірки міжнародними інспекціями, зокрема, технічного стану інфраструктури антарктичних станцій.
Автори використали як цей Контрольний перелік A, так і математичне моделювання при дослідженнях ієрархій (Saaty,
2008), щоб отримати кількісні характеристики пріоритетів та вартості модернізації інфраструктури станції. Математичне
моделювання здійснювалося в три етапи: підготовка двох матриць (для пріоритетів та вартості) зі списком елементів
інфраструктури станції заповнення матриць за експертними оцінками послідовного попарного порівняння важливості
(пріоритетів і вартості) інфраструктури кожного елемента за рангом від 0 до 9 (за умови, зокрема, якщо aij = 1, то aji
= 1/aij); розрахунку власних значень отриманих матриць, які після процедур нормалізації дали необхідні кількісні
характеристики. результати. Отримані кількісні результати щодо пріоритетів та вартості модернізації інфраструктури
Української антарктичної станції (УАС) «Академік Вернадський». висновки. Результати будуть використані для
підготовки Техніко-економічного обґрунтування з модернізації інфраструктури станції, для аргументації та прийняття
відповідних рішень органами виконавчої влади України, для інформування громадськості України. Крім того, отримані
результати сприятимуть подальшому розвитку та впровадженню інших підходів до оцінки пріоритетів та вартості
модернізації інфраструктури станції «Академік Вернадський».
ключові слова: інфраструктура станції «Академік Вернадський», модернізація, кількісні характеристики пріоритетів та
вартості, математичне моделювання.
Міжнародне співробітни-
цтво: суспільно-географічні
та політико-правові аспекти
освоєння антарктики /
InternatIonal co-operatIon:
socIo-economIc, polItIcal
and legal Issues of antarctIc
exploratIon
219
O. V. Kuzko, V. D. Lukiashchenko, M. A. Leonov
MATHEMATICAL MODELING OF PRIORITIES AND COSTS OF VERNADSKY STATION INFRASTRUCTURE
MODERNISATION
МатеМатическое Моделирование приоритетов и стоиМости
Модернизации инфраструктурЫ станции «акадеМик вернадский»
А.В. Кузько, В.Д. Лукьященко, М.А. Леонов
Государственное учреждение Национальный антарктический научный центр Министерства науки и образования
Укоаины, г. Киев; uackuzko@ukr.net
реферат. цель. Исследование актуального вопроса модернизации системы инфраструктуры Украинской антарктической
станции «Академик Вернадский» с целью предупреждения аварий и выхода из строя элементов инфраструктуры,
сохранения окружающей среды в Антарктике и выполнения Украиной международных обязательств в Антарктике. Метод.
Консультативное совещание по Договору об Антарктике (КСДА-XXXIII) приняло Resolution 3 (2010) с Контрольным
перечнем А для проверки международными инспекциями, в частности, технического состояния инфраструктуры
антарктических станций. Авторы использовали как этот Контрольный перечень A, так и математическое моделирование
при исследованиях иерархий (Saaty, 2008), чтобы получить количественные характеристики приоритетов и стоимости
модернизации инфраструктуры Украинской антарктической станции «Академик Вернадский». Математическое
моделирование осуществлялось в три этапа: подготовка двух матриц (для приоритетов и стоимости) со списком
элементов инфраструктуры станции; заполнение матриц по экспертным оценкам последовательного попарного
сравнения важности (приоритетов и стоимости) инфраструктуры каждого элемента по рангу от 0 до 9 (при условии,
в частности, если aij = 1, то aji = 1/aij); расчет собственных значений полученных матриц, которые после процедур
нормализации дали необходимые количественные характеристики. результаты. Получены количественные результаты
относительно приоритетов и стоимости модернизации инфраструктуры Украинской антарктической станции (УАС)
«Академик Вернадский». выводы. Результаты будут использованы для подготовки Технико-экономического обоснования по
модернизации инфраструктуры станции, для аргументации и принятия соответствующих решений органами исполнительной
власти Украины, для информирования общественности Украины. Кроме того, полученные результаты будут способствовать
дальнейшему развитию и внедрению других подходов к оценке приоритетов и стоимости модернизации инфраструктуры
станции.
ключевые слова: инфраструктура станции «Академик Вернадский», модернизация, количественные характеристики
приоритетов и стоимости, математическое моделирование.
1. Introduction
Vernadsky station has been operated by Ukraine since 1996. The problem of the system modernization of the
Station’s infrastructure is actual taking into account:
• the condition of the station infrastructure for 2016;
• in order to prevent accidents and breakdown of infrastructure elements;
• to preserve the environment in Antarctica;
• to fulfill Ukraine’s international obligations in Antarctica;
• to ensure the implementation of the State Special-Purpose Research Program in Antarctica for 2011-2020;
• in order to ensure the sustainable station development.
This study aims are to determine the quantitative characteristics of the system modernization of the
Vernadsky station infrastructure, such as the priorities and the costs, which would provide the opportunities of:
• simulation of the infrastructure modernization process according to the priorities, costs, and time to
optimize the modernization process;
• preparation of the Feasibility Study, Request for Proposal and Working Project for the infrastructure
modernization;
• preparation of arguments and proposals for central executive authorities of Ukraine regarding financing
and implementation of the station infrastructure modernization;
• informing the general public about the activities of Ukraine in Antarctica.
2. materials and methods
Antarctic Treaty Consultative Meeting (ATCM-XXXIII) adopted Resolution 3 (2010) with the Check List A
to verify by international inspections, particularly, technical condition of such compositions of Antarctic stations
infrastructure in that List:
1. Living quarters, warehouses and scientific-technical buildings;
2. Equipment and the scientific-technical research means;
3. Communication means;
4. Transport means;
5. Fuel handling and storage means;
6. Electricity supply means;
7. Means of providing with the fresh and technical water;
8. Means for the emergency situations;
9. Means of the waste management.
In this study authors used the above-mentioned Check List A (Resolution 3, 2010) and the analytical
mathematical method of hierarchies investigation (Saaty T.L., 2008) to obtain quantitative characteristics of the
priorities and the costs of the Vernadsky Station infrastructure modernization.
It should be noted that the mentioned mathematical method was successfully used, particularly, for:
• the arms race study and for the disarmament control in the ХХ century (Saaty, 1968);
220
O. V. Kuzko, V. D. Lukiashchenko, M. A. Leonov
MATHEMATICAL MODELING OF PRIORITIES AND COSTS OF VERNADSKY STATION INFRASTRUCTURE
MODERNISATION
• the quantitative analysis of the Antarctica values and the threats to Antarctica (Fedchuk et al., 2012),
(Kuzko et al., 2012);
• and the quantitative analysis of the Ukraine’ national interests in Antarctica (Kuzko et al., 2013);
According to the Saaty (2008) method in the first stage of study two special matrices were prepared for
experts judgments (both priorities and costs) with the list of station infrastructure components (means) conformity
with the Check List A (Table 1):
Table 1
Model of matrices for experts judgments (both priorities and costs)
Buil-
dings Research Communi-
cation
Trans-
port Fuel Electri-
city Water Emer-
gency Waste
Buildings 1
Research 1
Communi-cation 1
Transport 1
Fuel 1
Electricity 1
Water 1
Emergency 1
Waste 1
In the second stage of study the successive pairwise comparison of the values was carried out by importance ranking
(Table 2) and the filling the matrices elements by the appropriate expert’s judgements was carried out (Table 3, Table 4) under
circumstances that the matrixes are consistent, namely aii =1 and aji =1/aij.
Table 2
Ranks of objects importance
Rating Determination of importance ranking
0 The values are not comparable
1 The values are equally important
3 One value is a little bit more important than another one (weak superiority)
5 One value is considerably more important than another one (strong superiority)
7 One value is evidently more important than another one
9 One value is absolutely more important than another one
2, 4, 6, 8 Meanings which are appointed for intermediate judgements
Table 3
Experts matrix of the modernization priorities
Buil-
dings Research Communi-
cation
Trans-
port Fuel Electri-
city Water Emer-
gency Waste
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Buildings 1 2 3 1/4 1/5 1/3 4 2 4
Research 1/2 1 1/3 1/3 1/5 1/4 3 3 4
Communi-
cation 1/3 3 1 1/5 1/5 1/3 5 3 5
Transport 4 3 5 1 1/5 1/3 5 3 5
Fuel 5 5 5 5 1 3 5 5 6
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Electricity 3 4 3 3 1/3 1 4 4 5
Water 1/4 1/3 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/4 1 3 3
Emergency 1/2 1/3 1/3 1/3 1/5 1/4 1/3 1 3
Waste 1/4 1/4 1/5 1/6 1/6 1/5 1/3 1/3 1
221
O. V. Kuzko, V. D. Lukiashchenko, M. A. Leonov
MATHEMATICAL MODELING OF PRIORITIES AND COSTS OF VERNADSKY STATION INFRASTRUCTURE
MODERNISATION
Table 4
Experts matrix of the modernization costs
Buil-
dings Research Communi-
cation
Trans-
port Fuel Electri-
city Water Emer-
gency Waste
Buildings 1 4 5 5 1/5 1 7 5 5
Research 1/4 1 3 4 1/4 1 5 1 2
Communi-
cation 1/5 1/3 1 4 1/5 1 2 1/2 3
Transport 1/5 1/4 1/4 1 1/7 1/5 1/5 1/2 1/2
Fuel 5 4 5 7 1 4 5 5 6
Electricity 1 1 1 5 1/4 1 3 1 3
Water 1/7 1/5 1/2 5 1/5 1/3 1 1/3 1/2
Emergency 1/5 1 2 2 1/5 1 3 1 2
Waste 1/5 1/2 1/3 2 1/6 1/3 2 1/2 1
In the third stage of study the task solution was carried out of the eigenvalues obtaining of the prepared ma-
trices (Table 5):
Table 5
Normalized values of the eigenvalues of the prepared matrices
Components of
Infrastructure (means)
Quantitative characteristics of
modernization priorities
Quantitative characteristics
of modernization costs
Buildings 0.0908 0.2075
Research 0.0578 0.0982
Communication 0.0831 0.0645
Transport 0.1597 0.0243
Fuel 0.3238 0.3495
Electricity 0.1873 0.0996
Water 0.0399 0.0391
Emergency 0.0357 0.0763
Waste 0.0211 0.0410
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MODERNISATION
3. results and discussion
For convenience in Таble 6 the quantitative characteristics of the modernization priorities from Таble 5 are
given in descending order:
Table 6
Quantitative characteristics of modernization priorities in descending order
Components of infrastructure (means) Quantitative characteristics
of modernization priorities
Fuel 0.3238
Electricity 0.1873
Transport 0.1597
Buildings 0.0908
Communication 0.0831
Research 0.0578
Water 0.0399
Emergency 0.0357
Waste 0.0211
For convenience in Таble 7 the quantitative characteristics of modernization costs from Таble 5 are given in
descending order:
Table 7
Quantitative characteristics of modernization costs in descending order
Components of infrastructure (means) Quantitative characteristics
of modernization costs
Fuel 0.3495
Buildings 0.2075
Electricity 0.0996
Research 0.0982
Emergency 0.0763
Communication 0.0645
Waste 0.0410
Water 0.0391
Transport 0.0243
To begin the costs are considered of the modernization of both individual components of the infrastructure
and the entire station infrastructure. For simplicity the option is considered, for example, when the cost of
communication means modernizing (in particular, providing the station with the internet modern means) can be
estimated at $ US 150,000 (which in the normalized form of the quantitative characteristics of the costs in Table 7
corresponds to 0.0645).
Then calculated from the Table 7 data the costs of the other components modernization of the station
infrastructure will have the values which are given in Table 8:
Table 8
Modernization costs of station infrastructure components
Components of station
infrastructure (means)
Modernization costs
(in $ USA)
1 2
Fuel 812 791
Buildings 482 558
Electricity 231 628
Research 228 372
Emergency 177 442
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MATHEMATICAL MODELING OF PRIORITIES AND COSTS OF VERNADSKY STATION INFRASTRUCTURE
MODERNISATION
1 2
Communication 150 000
Waste 95 349
Water 90 930
Transport 56 512
Then from Table 8 the total cost of modernization of the all infrastructure components of the Station is
2 325 581 US $ or 62 790 698 UAH (by 1 US $ = 27 UAH).
It should be noted that the value shown in Table 8 can be specified by other methods, if the cost of modernization
of another (other) component of the Station infrastructure will be obtained by other methods, and using Table 7 to
recalculate the costs of modernization of the rest of the infrastructure components.
Using data from Tables 6 and 8 the possible options can be simulated for both the Station modernization
funding and the possible schedules for modernization of the Station infrastructure.
The option was considered for the modernization of the all Station infrastructure components one by one
within one year for each component in accordance with Table 6. The appropriate schedule for the modernization of
the Station’s infrastructure components by years and the corresponding costs of modernization by years are given in
Table 9:
Table 9
Option of station infrastructure modernization within 9 years
Components of Station
infrastructure (means)
Quantitative characteristics
of modernization priorities
Number order of
modernization years
Modernization costs
(in $ USA)
Fuel 0.3238 1 812 791
Electricity 0.1873 2 231 628
Transport 0.1597 3 56 512
Buildings 0.0908 4 482 558
Communication 0.0831 5 150 000
Research 0.0578 6 228 372
Water 0.0399 7 90 930
Emergency 0.0357 8 177 442
Waste 0.0211 9 95 349
The disadvantage of such modernization option is the long interval of modernization time during which at the
station both priorities and the cost of the infrastructure components modernization can change.
The second hypothetical option of all components modernization of station infrastructure within one year was
considered. The appropriate schedule for modernization of the station infrastructure and the corresponding cost of
modernization are given in Table 10:
Table 10
Option of station infrastructure modernization within 1 year
Components of station
infrastructure (means)
Quantitative characteristics
of modernization priorities
Number order of
modernization years
Modernization costs
(in $ USA)
Fuel+Electricity+
+Transport+Buildings+
+Communication+
+Research +
+Water+Emergency+ Waste
1 1 2 325 581
Table 8
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MATHEMATICAL MODELING OF PRIORITIES AND COSTS OF VERNADSKY STATION INFRASTRUCTURE
MODERNISATION
This version of the modernization of all components of the infrastructure physically impossible to implement
due to a limited time of modernization.
The third intermediate option of the modernization of the station infrastructure was considered where the
period of modernization was defined within 5 years and the conditions for more even funding for modernization by
years were created due to the merger of the modernization of the relevant infrastructure components.
This option is presented in Table 11 with the corresponding changes in the priorities of modernization and
changes in the financing of modernization by years.
Table 11
Option of station infrastructure modernization within 5 years
Components of Station
infrastructure (means)
Quantitative characteristics
of modernization priorities
Number order of
modernization years
Modernization costs (in $
USA)
Electricity + Transport 0.1873 + 0.1597 = 0,3470 1 231 628 + 56 512 = 288
140
Fuel 0.3238 2 812 791
Communication +
+ Research
0.0831 + 0.0578 =
0,1409 3 150 000 + 228 372 = 378
372
Water + Emergency +
+ Waste
0.0399 + 0.0357 +
+ 0.0211 =
0,0967
4
90 930 + 177 442 +
+ 95 349 =
363 721
Buildings 0.0908 5 482 558
It should be emphasized that this option of modernization changes the priorities of modernization, which are
given in Table 6.
One more, the fourth option of the modernization of the station infrastructure was simulated in which the
period of modernization was reduced up to 3 years at the expense of combining the modernization of the infrastructure
components in their order in Table 7.
Such possible option is given in Table 12 with the corresponding changes in financing modernization by years
Table 12
Option of station infrastructure modernization within 3 years
Components of Station
infrastructure (means)
Quantitative characteristics of
modernization priorities
Number order of
modernization years
Modernization costs
(в $ USA)
Fuel + Electricity +
+ Transport
0.3238 + 0.1873 +
+ 0.1597 =
0,6708
1
812 791 + 231 628 +
+ 56 512 =
1 100 931
Buildings + Communication +
+ Research
0.0908 + 0.0831 +
+ 0.0578 =
0,2317
2
482 558 + 150 000 +
+ 228 372 =
860 930
Water + Emergency +
+ Waste
0.0399 + 0.0357 +
+ 0.0211 =
0,0967
3
90 930 + 177 442 +
+ 95 349 =
363 721
The given option of the modernization seems more optimal as a result of both the implementation period and
the preservation of the modernization priorities which are given in Table 6. The disadvantage of this option is the
uneven modernization funding within the years which can be achieved only with the violation of modernization
priorities which are given in Table 6.
4. conclusions
The method of quantitative characteristics of priorities and cost of modernization of infrastructure of the
Ukrainian Antarctic Akademik Vernadsky station infrastructure was applied the first time. The quantitative
characteristics obtained in the study provide the opportunities of:
• simulation of the infrastructure modernization process according to the priorities, costs, and time to optimize
the modernization process in conditions both of the limited funding and the limited time for the modernization of
Vernadsky station infrastructure;
• preparation of the Feasibility Study, Request for Proposal and Working Project for the infrastructure
modernization;
• preparation of arguments and proposals for central executive authorities of Ukraine regarding financing and
implementation of the station infrastructure modernization;
• informing the general public about the Ukraine activities in Antarctica.
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MODERNISATION
Based on the obtained quantitative characteristics, in the study for example four specific options have been
simulated of the modernization of Vernadsky station infrastructure which provide a solid foundation for choosing,
maneuvering and making decisions with limited resources in funding and in time.
The proposed method does not require a large number of experts, effectively utilizes the experience of the
involved specialists, and can be used to specify the cost and priorities of the modernization at any stage of the
modernization.
The quantitative characteristics obtained in the study can be made more exact by attracting other experts and
specialists, and by clarifying the cost and priorities of modernizing the individual components of the Station
infrastructure by other methods.
5. references
1. Fedchuk, A., Kuzko, O., Leonov, M. 2012. The Ranking of Multiple Values in Antarctica. Proceedings of the
International Polar Year Conference : “From Knowledge to Action”. Montréal, Canada. 64.
2. Kuzko, O., Leonov, M., Savchenko, V., Fedchuk, A. 2012. Quantitative Characteristics of Values in Antarctica
and Threats for Antarctica. Proceedings of the XXXII- SCAR Open Science Conference “Antarctic Science and Policy
Advice in a Changing World”. Abstract 46.
3. Kuzko, O., Savchenko, V., Fedchuk, A. 2013. Application of Hierarchy Research Method for Assessment of
National Interests in Antarctica. Book of Abstracts of the SCAR Workshop ”Past, present and future of human connections
to the Antarctic”. 16.
4. Resolution 3 (ATCM-XXXIII). 2010. [Electronic resource]. Antarctic Treaty Secretariat. Buenos Aires. Avail-
able online at: https://www.ats.aq/documents/recatt/Att462_e.pdf.
5. Saaty, T.L. 2008. Decision making with the analytic hierarchy process, Int. J. Services Sciences. 83-98.
6. Saaty, T.L. 1968. Mathematical models of arms control and disarmament: Application of Mathematical Struc-
tures in Politics. New York-London-Sydney-Toronto. John Wiley & Sons Inc. 190.
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