Homogeneous Markov chains in compact spaces

For homogeneous Markov chains in a compact and locally compact spaces, the ergodic properties are investigated, using the notions of topological recurrence and connections.

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Бібліографічні деталі
Дата:2007
Автор: Skorokhod, A.V.
Формат: Стаття
Мова:Англійська
Опубліковано: Інститут математики НАН України 2007
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Назва журналу:Digital Library of Periodicals of National Academy of Sciences of Ukraine
Цитувати:Homogeneous Markov chains in compact spaces / A.V. Skorokhod // Theory of Stochastic Processes. — 2007. — Т. 13 (29), № 3. — С. 80–95. — Бібліогр.: 5 назв.— англ.

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Digital Library of Periodicals of National Academy of Sciences of Ukraine
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author Skorokhod, A.V.
author_facet Skorokhod, A.V.
citation_txt Homogeneous Markov chains in compact spaces / A.V. Skorokhod // Theory of Stochastic Processes. — 2007. — Т. 13 (29), № 3. — С. 80–95. — Бібліогр.: 5 назв.— англ.
collection DSpace DC
description For homogeneous Markov chains in a compact and locally compact spaces, the ergodic properties are investigated, using the notions of topological recurrence and connections.
first_indexed 2025-12-07T13:13:18Z
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fulltext Theory of Stochastic Processes Vol. 13 (29), no. 3, 2007, pp. 80–95 UDC 519.21 ANATOLY V. SKOROKHOD HOMOGENEOUS MARKOV CHAINS IN COMPACT SPACES For homogeneous Markov chains in a compact and locally compact spaces, the er- godic properties are investigated, using the notions of topological recurrence and connections 1. Introduction Let X be a metric compact space with a distance d(x, x′), x, x′ ∈ X . Denote, by C(X), the set of continuous functions f : X → R. We use the same notation to the Banach space C(X) with the norm ||f || = sup x∈X |f(x)|. We investigate ergodic properties of a discrete time homogeneous Markov process {ξn, n ≥ 0} in X with transition probability for one step P (x, B), x ∈ X, B ∈ B(X), where B(X) is the Borelian σ -algebra in X . We assume that the transition probability satisfies the Feller condition, this means that the function Tf(x) = ∫ f(z)P (x, dz) is a continuous linear operator C(X) → C(X). The main result which will be used in our investigation of ergodic properties of the Markov chains is the weak compactness of the set of all probability measures on B(X), and the main tool is the topological recurrence and connections. The application of the weak compactness to the investigation of the ergodicity of dynamical systems in compact phase spaces was proposed by N.M. Krylov and N.N. Bogolubov [1], who developed a method of construction of invariant measures which is used here. In the work of the same authors [2], a variant of the ergodic theorem for a Markov chain (which is treated as a random dynamic system) in the compact space is proved. The investigation of the ergodicity of Markov chains founded by Krylov and Bogolubov was extended by M.V. Bebutov [3], who formulated and proved the main theorem on the ergodicity of a Markov chain in the compact space, in which all ergodic invariant measures were described. But the proof of the result is not so rigorous as one needs in the modern considerations. In this article, we try to correct the proof using the notions of topological recurrence and connections which were introduced by A.N. Kolmogorov in [4] for countable Markov chains. In this article, we will prove that any topologically recurrent state is represented as a union of topologically connected subsets and obtain the representation of the ergodic measure for each subset of this kind. 2000 AMS Mathematics Subject Classification. Primary 60J10. Key words and phrases. Markov chain, topologically recurrent state, topologically connected states, invariant measure. 80 HOMOGENEOUS MARKOV CHAINS IN COMPACT SPACES 81 We consider Markov chains in a locally compact space too. In this case, the set of topologically recurrent states may be empty, so the Markov chain is transient. If the set of topologically recurrent states is not empty, then it is represented as a union of topologically connected subsets, and there exists an invariant measure on any topologi- cally connected subset which is unique to a multiplicative constant (if the space is not a compact, this measure may be infinite). In any way, the Birkhoff’s ratio theorem is valid. For a transient Markov chain {ξn, n ≥ 1}, we prove the existence of a finite limit limEx ∑ k≤n 1{ξk∈B} = Q(x, B) for any bounded B ∈ B. 2. Topological recurrence and connections Definition. A point x ∈ X is said to be topologically recurrent to a Markov chain {ξn, n ≥ 0} if, for any a > 0, the relation Px( ∑ n 1{ξn∈Ba(x)} = ∞) = 1 is fulfilled. Here, Px is the conditional distribution of the discrete-time stochastic process {ξn, n ≥ 0} under the condition ξ0 = x, Ba(x) is the ball in X of radius a with the center at a point x. Definition. Let x be a topologically recurrent state. It is topologically connected to a state y ∈ X if the relation ∑ n Px(ξn ∈ Ba(y)) > 0 is fulfilled for any a > 0. Lemma 1. The set of topologically recurrent points is not empty. Proof. If this set is empty, then, for any x ∈ X , there exists a(x) > 0 for which the following relation is fulfilled: Px( ∑ n 1{ξn∈Bo a(x)(x)} < ∞/{ξn, n ≥ 0} = 1. Here, Bo a(x) is the open ball of radius a with the center at a point x. This implies the relation X ⊂ ⋃ x∈X Bo a(x)(x). It follows from the compactness of the set X that there exists a finite sequence {xk, k ≤ l} for which X ⊂ ⋃ k≤l Bo a(xk)(xk), so ∑ n 1{ξn∈X} < ∞. This is impossible. Lemma 1 is proved. Introduce an auxiliary homogeneous Markov chain in the space X depending on a parameter 0 < λ < 1 {xλ k , k ≥ 0} 82 ANATOLY V. SKOROKHOD with transition probability Pλ(x, B) = (1 − λ) ∑ k>0 λk−1Px(ξk ∈ B). It satisfies the Feller condition. The Markov chain {ξλ k , k ≥ 0} may be represented by the Markov chain {ξk, k ≥ 0}. For this, introduce the sequence of independent identically distributed integer-valued random variables {θk, k ≥ 1} with the distribution P (θk = m) = (1 − λ)λm−1, m ≥ 1, and set ζ0 = 0, ζn = ∑ k≤n θk. Then the stochastic processes {ξλ n, n ≥ 0} and {ξζn , n ≥ 0} have the same distribution. Remark 1. The relation Px(lim n ∑ k≤n f(ξλ k )∑ k≤n f(ξk) = 1 − λ) = 1 is fulfilled for all x ∈ X and f ∈ C(X). The proof follows from the equality ∑ k≤n f(ξλ k ) = ∑ k≤n ∑ j 1{ζk=j}f(ξj), and the Blackwell’s renewal theorem which implies the relation lim k→∞ ∑ n P (ζn = k) = 1 Eθ1 . Definition. A state x ∈ X is topologically regular if the following conditions are fulfilled: 1) The measure Pλ(a, ·) is not pure atomic, i.e. the relation inf{Pλ(x, X \ Λ) : Λ ∈ (CS)} > 0 is valid, where (CS) is the set of countable subsets of X, 2) Denote, by S∗ x, the support of the measure Pλ(x, ·), then Ba(x) ⊂ S∗ x for some a > 0. Lemma 2. Let x be a topologically recurrent state, and let a topologically regular state y satisfy the relation Pλ x ( ∑ k 1{ξλ k ∈Ba(y)} = ∞) = 1 for all a > 0. Then the state y is topologically connected to the state x, and the state y is topologically recurrent. Proof. Denote Cx = {z ∈ X : Pλ(z, Ba(x)) > 0, a > 0}. Let a > 0 satisfy the relation Ba(y) ⊂ S∗ y . HOMOGENEOUS MARKOV CHAINS IN COMPACT SPACES 83 The relation Pλ(x, Ba(y)) > 0 implies the formula Cx ∩ Ba = ∅ because, if it is wrong, the Markov process starting at the state x will not return in any neighborhood of x after it visited the ball Ba(y). So Pλ(y, Ba(x)) > 0 for all a > 0. Lemma 2 is proved. Invariant sets Definition. A set S ∈ B(X) is called an invariant set for the Markov chain {ξn, n ≥ 0} if the relation P (ξ1 ∈ S/ξ0 = x) = 1 holds for all x ∈ S. Remark 2. Let S be an invariant set for the Markov chain {ξn, n ≥ 0}, and let Ŝ be a closure of the set S. Then the set Ŝ is an invariant to the same Markov chain. The proof of this statement is based on the Feller property of the transition probability. Theorem 1. Let {ξn, n ≥ 0} have the distribution Px where x is a topologically recurrent and topologically regular state. Introduce the set Sx = ⋂ n Closure{ξk, k ≥ n}. Then 1) Sx is a closed invariant non-random set. 2) Any y ∈ Sx is a topologically recurrent state. If y is a topologically regular state, then x and y are topologically connected. 3) Sx is the minimal closed invariant set containing the state x. Proof. 1) It is easy to see that the function F (z, {ξn, n ≥ 0}) = 1{z∈Sx} is an invariant function for the Markov chain {ξn, n ≥ 0} because of the relation F (z, ξn, n ≥ 0}) = F (z, {ξn, n ≥ 1}). It is known that any invariant function is a function of ξ0, so Sx is a non-random closed set depending on x only. The last equation implies that the set Sx is an invariant set. 2) Note that the relation y ∈ Sx implies the relation Px( ∑ k 1{ξk∈Ba(y)} = ∞) = 1 for all a > 0. This implies the topological recurrence of the state y and its topological connection to the state x because of Lemma 2 and the relation of equality Sx = Sy which follows from the relations Sy ⊂ Sx, Sx ⊂ Sy. 3) Assume J ⊂ Sx, Sx \ J = ∅ is an invariant closed set. Lemma 1 implies that there exists a recurrent state z ∈ J. Then Sz = Sx, J ⊂ Sx \ Sz = ∅. 84 ANATOLY V. SKOROKHOD The theorem is proved. 3. Invariant measures Let m be a probability measure on B(X). It is an invariant measure for the transition probability P (x, B) if the relation (1) ∫ P (x, B)m(dx) = m(B) is fulfilled for any B ∈ B(X). Remark 3. A measure m is invariant iff the relation (2) ∫ Tg(x)m(dx) = ∫ g(x)m(dx) is fulfilled for all g ∈ C(X). This follows from the observation that formula (1) can be rewritten as formula (2) with g = 1B. Remark 4. Let m be an invariant probability measure. Denote, by Pm, the distribution of the Markov process {ξk, k ≥ 0} if the distribution of ξ0 is the measure m. Denote Sm = Closure{ξk, k ≥ 1}. Then Sm is the closed invariant set which is the support of the measure m. For any x ∈ X and n ∈ N+, where N+ is the set of all integer numbers, introduce probability measures mn(x, dz) by the relations∫ f(z)mn(x, dz) = 1 n ∑ k<n T kf(x), f ∈ C(X), T 0f(x) = f(x). Theorem 2. Assume that all states of Sx are topologically regular. Then, for any z ∈ Sx, there exists an invariant measure m(z, dy) satisfying the relation (3) ∫ f(y)m(z, dy) = lim n ∫ f(y)mn(z, dy), f ∈ C(X). These measures have properties a) for any invariant measure ρ on the set Sx, the relation∫ f(z)ρ(dz) = ∫ ( ∫ f(y)m(z, dy))ρ(dz), f ∈ C(X) is fulfilled, b) for any z ∈ Sx, the measure m(z, ·) is ergodic. Proof. Since the sequence of measures {mn(x, dz), n ∈ N+} is compact, there exists a subsequence nl, nl → ∞ as l → ∞ and a probability measure m∗(z, dy) for which the relation lim l→∞ ∫ f(y)mnl (z, dy) = ∫ f(y)m∗(z, dy) holds for all f ∈ C(X). This implies the relation∫ Tf(y)m∗(z, dy) = lim l→∞ ∫ Tf(y)mnl (z, dy). The relation ∫ Tf(y)mn(z, dy) = 1 n ∑ 1≤k≤n+1 T kf(z) HOMOGENEOUS MARKOV CHAINS IN COMPACT SPACES 85 implies the inequality sup z∈X | ∫ Tf(y)mn(z, dy) − ∫ f(y)mn(z, dy)| ≤ 2||f || n , from which we obtain the equality ∫ Tf(y)m∗(z, dy) = ∫ f(y)m∗(z, dy). So m∗(z, dy) is an invariant measure for the transition probability P (z, B). Consider the Markov chain {ξk, k ≥ 0} with ξ0 having the distribution m∗ = m∗(z, ·). It is a stationary process with the invariant measure m∗. The Birkhoff ergodic theorem implies that, for all f ∈ C, the relation (4) Py(lim 1 n ∑ k≤n f(ξk) = f(ξ0)) = 1 is fulfilled for almost all y with respect to the measure m∗ which is the distribution of ξ0. In particular, we have the relation lim n→∞Em∗ 1 n ∑ k≤n f(ξk) = ∫ f(y)m∗(dy) which implies formula (3). Statement a) follows from the formula ∫ f(z)ρ(dz) = ∫ Tf(z)ρ(dz) = ∫ ∫ f(y)mn(z, dy)ρ(dz) and formula (3). To prove statement b), consider the set IM(Sx) of all probability invariant measures on the set Sx. It is a weakly compact convex set in the space M(X) of all finite measures on B(X). Denote, by EIM(Sx), the set of all extreme invariant measures, they are ergodic. Any measure m ∈ IM(Sx) is a mixture of ergodic measures, m = ∫ EIM(Sx) ναm(dν), where αm is a probability measure on the Borelian σ-algebra of the set EIM(Sx). This representation is unique. So formula (3) implies the relation EIM(Sx) = {m(z, ·), z ∈ Sx}. 4. Ergodicity The Markov chain {ξn, n ≥ 0} is ergodic if the set IM(X) of all probability invariant measures for the transition probability P (x, B) contains only one element. Theorem 3. The Markov chain {ξn, n ≥ 0} is ergodic iff the Markov chain {ξλ n , n ≥ 0} with the transition probability Pλ(x, B) is. Proof. It follows from the relation (IM)(X) = (IM)λ(X), the last being the set of invariant probability measures for the transition probability Pλ. This follows from the following statement. 86 ANATOLY V. SKOROKHOD Lemma 3. If a probability measure m is the invariant measure for the transition prob- ability Pλ for some λ0 ∈ (0, 1), then it is an invariant measure for the transition proba- bility P . Proof. Introduce operators in the space MB of bounded measurable functions f :→ R with the norm ||f || = sup x∈X |f(x)|, T f(x) = ∫ f(y)P (x, dy), Tλf(x) = ∫ f(y)Pλ(x, dy). Then Tλ = (1 − λ)Rλ = (1 − λ)(I − λT )−1. A measure m is invariant for the transition probability Pλ if the relation∫ Tf(x)m(dx) = ∫ f(x)m(dx) holds. The function Rλ is an analytic function of λ, |λ| < 1. The derivatives of this function are represented by the formula (5) Dn λ = dn dλn Rλ = (−1)nn!(Rλ)n. This formula implies that the measure m is invariant for the operator Dλ0 n , i.e.∫ Dλ0 n f(x)m(dx) = ∫ f(x)mdx), f ∈ BM. The Taylor’s formula implies the relation (6) Rλ = Rλ0 + ∑ n>0 (n!)−1Dn λ0 (λ − λ0)n. So the measure m is invariant for all Pλ, |λ| < 1. It follows from the formula∫ f(x)m(dx) = ∫ Pλf(x)m(dx) = ∑ k>0 ∫ T kf(x)m(dx) that ∫ T kf(x)m(dx) = ∫ f(x)m(dx) for all k > 0, f ∈ MB. Lemma 3 is proved. Assume that any state x ∈ X is topologically recurrent and topologically regular, and any state x is topologically connected to all states y ∈ X. Lemma 4. Let a function f ∈ C(X) satisfy the condition sup{f(x) − f(y) : x ∈ X, y ∈ X} > 0. Then the inequality inf{Tf(x) : x ∈ X} > inf{f(x) : x ∈ X} is valid. Proof. It suffices to consider the case f ≥ 0, inf{f(x) : x ∈ X} = 0. The open set {x : f(x) > 0} HOMOGENEOUS MARKOV CHAINS IN COMPACT SPACES 87 is not the empty set so Tf(x) > 0 because all states are topologically connected. Com- pactness of the set X implies the relation inf{Tf(x) : x ∈ X} > 0. Corollary 1. If a function f satisfies the condition of Lemma 3, then the relations inf x∈X T n+1f(x) > inf x∈X T nf(x), n ∈ N+, inf x∈X T n+1 λ f(x) > inf x∈X T n λ f(x), n ∈ N+ are fulfilled for any λ ∈ (0, 1). Denote Mλ(f) = sup n inf x∈X T n λ f(x). Then Mλ(f) > 0 for all f ∈ C∗+(X) where C∗ + = {f ∈ C+ :: sup{f(x) − f(x′) > 0}. Introduce the condition SUC inf{M−(f) : f ∈ C∗ +(X), sup{ ∫ f(x)m(dx) : m ∈ IM(X)} = 1} = δ > 0. A Markov chain satisfying this condition is called strong uniform connected. Theorem 4. The Markov chain {ξn, n ≥ 0} is ergodic iff condition SUC is fulfilled. Proof. Assume that the Markov chain {ξn, n ≥ 0} is ergodic with ergodic probability measure m. Then the relation lim n Snf(x) = ∫ f(z)m(dz), f ∈ C(X), Snf(x) = 1 n ∑ 1≤k≤n T kf(x). is fulfilled for almost all x ∈ X with respect to the measure m. Prove the formula (7) lim n sup x∈X |Snf(x) − ∫ f(z)m(dz)| = 0, f ∈ C(X), Snf(x) = ∑ 1≤k≤n T kf(x). If formula (7) is not true for some function f , then there exist sequences {zk ∈ X, k ≥ 1}, {nk ∈ N+, nk ↑ +∞} satisfying the inequality |Snk f(zk) − ∫ f(z)m(dz)| > ρ > 0. We can assume that, for any g ∈ C(X), there exists lim k Snk g(zk) = ∫ g(z)m∗(dz) where m∗ is a probability measure. It is easy to check that m∗ is an invariant measure. In addition, | ∫ f(z)m∗(dz) − ∫ f(z)m(dz)| ≥ ρ, so m∗ = m. This contradicts the ergodicity of the Markov chain. Formula (7) implies condition SUC because of Remark 1. Let condition SUC be fulfilled, and let mk, k = 1, 2 be two different probability ergodic distributions for the Markov chain. 88 ANATOLY V. SKOROKHOD Then m1 ⊥ m2 and, for any ρ > 0, there exist the closed sets Fk, k = 1, 2, satisfying the conditions F1 ∩ F2 = ∅, mk(Fk) > 1 − ρ, k = 1, 2. Let a function fρ : X → R+ satisfy the conditions fρ ∈ C+(X), fρ(x) ≤ 1, fρ(x) = 0, x ∈ F2, eρ(x) = 1, x ∈ F1. Then the inequalities∫ fρ(x)m1(dx) > 1 − ρ, ∫ fρ(x)m2(dx) < ρ are valid. If ρ = δ 1 + δ where δ is from condition SUC, then∫ (1 − ρ)−1fρ(x)m1(dx) > 1 so M−(fρ) > δ and ∫ Snfρ(x)m2(dx) > δ(1 − ρ) = ρ for all sufficiently large n. On the other hand,∫ Snfρm2(dx) = ∫ fρ(x)m2(dx) < ρ. We obtain a contradiction. Theorem 4 is proved. 5. Irregular Markov chains A Markov chain is irregular if the transition probability of the chain does not satisfy the condition of topological regularity. We consider some examples of this kind proposed by Professor A.M. Kulik (Kyiv Institute of Mathematics). Example 1. Let X = IN∪{∞} with d(x, y) = | 1x − 1 y | ( 1 ∞ ≡ 0). Define the transition probability P of the Markov chain in X by P (x, A) = Q(x, A ∩ IN)1Ix∈IN + δ∞1Ix=∞, where Q is a transition probability of some ergodic Markov chain in IN such that the ergodic measure for this chain is supported by the whole IN. Then the following features hold. a) All states from the set X \ {∞} are topologically recurrent, topologically regular, and topologically connected to one another, b) The state ∞ is absorbing and is not topologically connected to any x ∈ X \ {∞}, while any x ∈ X \ {∞} is topologically connected to ∞, c) There exist two ergodic distributions: one on the set X \ {∞} and another on the singlet {∞}. Example 2 Let X = {0, 1}∞, i.e. points of the set are represented in the form x = {[x]k, k ≥ 1}, [x]k ∈ {0, 1}, and the distance is determined by the formula d(x, y) = ∑ k≥1 2−k|[x]k − [y]k|. HOMOGENEOUS MARKOV CHAINS IN COMPACT SPACES 89 Let the transition probability from a state x to a state y be given by the formula P (x, y) = ⎧⎪⎨ ⎪⎩ 2 3 , [y]k = [x]k+1, k ≥ 1 1 6 , [y]k = [x]k−1, k ≥ 2, [y]1 = 0 1 6 , [y]k = [x]k−1, k ≥ 2, [y]1 = 1 . For this Markov chain, all states are topologically recurrent and pairwise topologically connected. For any x ∈ X , the set Ix = ⋃ m∈IN {y ∈ X : ∑ k 1I[x]k =[y]m+k < +∞} is a countable invariant set. If x is periodic (i.e., ∃m : [x]k = [x]k+m, k ∈ IN), then there exists a unique invariant measure ρx on the set Ix. The peculiarity of this statement is the fact: the closure of the set Ix (i.e., the set Sx) coincides with X for any x, while there exists a wide variety of (mutually singular) ergodic measures on X. Consider a general result related to irregular Markov chains. Theorem 5. Consider a Markov chain in X with transition probability P (x, A), x ∈ X, A ∈ B(X) satisfying the conditions 1) the Feller condition, 2) for any x ∈ X, the support of the measure Pλ(x, ·) is the set Λx ∈ (CCS) where (CCS) is the set of all compact countable subsets of X, 3) any x ∈ X is topologically recurrent. Then, for any x ∈ X, the set Λx is a closed invariant set, and there exists a unique ergodic measure ρx on the set Λx. The proof follows from Theorem 2. 6. Markov chains in locally compact spaces In this section, we denote, by X, a locally compact metric space with a distance d(x, x′). Consider a Markov chain {ξn, n ≥ 0} in X. Assume that the transition proba- bility P (x, B), x ∈ X, B ∈ B(X) of the chain satisfies the C0 Feller condition, i.e. Tf(x) = ∫ f(z)P (x, dz) ∈ C0(X), f ∈ C0(X), where C0(X) = {f ∈ C(X) : lim x→∞ f(x) = 0} and C(X) is the Banach space of all continuous bounded fumctions f : X → R. Introduce the C0-weak convergence of measures on a σ-algebra B(X), for which the sequence of measures {mn, n ≥ 1} is convergent to a measure m if the relation lim n ∫ f(x)mn(dx) = ∫ f(x)m(dx) is fulfilled for any f ∈ C0(X). It is known that the set M(X) of all finite measures on B(X) is a locally compact set with respect to the C0-weak convergence. That is, for any bounded sequence of measures {mn, n ≥ 1}, there exists a C0-weakly convergent subsequence {mnk .nk ∈ N , nk → ∞}. This implies the existence of invariant measures for the Markov chain {ξn, n ≥ 1}. Compactly imbedded Markov chains Denote by Φ the set of the functions φ ∈ C0(X) such that the set Fφ = Closure{x ∈ X : φ(x) > 0} is compact. 90 ANATOLY V. SKOROKHOD Lemma 5. Let φ ∈ Φ, 0 ≤ φ ≤ 1. Suppose that every x ∈ Fφ is topologically recurrent and, for any y ∈ X, there exists x ∈ {φ > 0} that is topologically connected to y. Introduce a function Pφ(x, A) = Ex ∑ n≥1 ∏ 0≤k<n (1 − φ(ξk))φ(ξn)1{ξn∈A}, x ∈ X, A ∈ B(X). Then Pφ(x, A) is the transition probability of a homogeneous Markov process in X that satisfies the Feller property on the compact set Fφ. Proof. Note that Pφ(x, X) = Ex ∑ n≥1 φ(ξn) ∏ k<n (1 − φ(ξk)) = 1 + Ex ∏ k≥1 (1 − φ(ξk)) because of the formula 1 − ∏ k≥1 (1 − ak) = ∑ n≥1 an ∏ k<n (1 − ak), 0 < ak < 1, k ≥ 1. In addition, ∏ k (1 − φ(ξk)) ≤ exp {− ∑ k φ(ξk)} = 0, because the recurrence condition imposed on the Markov chain {ξkk ≥ 0} implies the relation ∑ k φ(ξk) = +∞ Py-a.s. for every y ∈ X. So Pφ(x, X) = 1 for all x ∈ X , and Pφ is a transition probability. To prove the Feller property of the transition probability Pφ use the formula ∫ f(y)Pφ(x, dy) = Ex ∑ n≥1 ( ∏ k<n (1 − φ(ξk)))φ(ξn)f(ξn). Denote Inf(x) = Ex( ∏ k<n (1 − φ(ξk)))φ(ξn)f(ξn). This function is continuous in x because of the Feller property of the transition probability P (x, A). If f > 0, then Inf(x) > 0. The series ∫ f(y)Pφ(x, dy) = ∑ n≥1 Inf(x) of non-negative functions on the compact set Fφ converges uniformly to a continuous function. Extended filtrations Let {θk, k ≥ 0} be a sequence of independent random variables which uniformly dis- tributed on the interval (0, 1) and are independent on the sequence {ξk, k ≥ 0}. Denote, by F̂ , the σ-algebra generated by the random variables {ξk, k ≤ n} ∪ {θk, k ≤ n}. The filtration {F̂n, n ≥ 0} is an extended filtration for the Markov chain {ξk, k ≥ 0}. HOMOGENEOUS MARKOV CHAINS IN COMPACT SPACES 91 Lemma 6. Consider a stopping time with respect to the extended filtration: νφ = inf{k ∈ N : θk < φ(ξk)}. Then the relation P (ξ(νφ) ∈ B/ξ0 = x) = Pφ(x, B) is valid. The proof follows from the relations P (ξ(νφ ∈ B/ξ0) = ∑ n≥1 = Ex1{θ0≥φ(ξ0),···θn−1≥φ(ξn−1),θn<φ(ξn)}1{ξn∈B} = ∑ n≥1 ( ∏ k<n (1 − φ(ξk))φ(ξn)1{ξn∈B}. Theorem 6. Introduce a sequence of stopping times with respect to the filtration {F̂n, n ≥ 0} : νφ 0 = νφ, νφ l = inf{k > νφ l−1 : θk < φ(ξk)}, l > 0. Then the sequence {ξφ = ξ(νφ l ), l ≥ 0} is a homogeneous Markov chain with values in the compact set Fφ and the transition probability function Pφ(x, A) The proof follows from the strong Markov property of the Markov chain {ξk, k ≥ 0} and Lemma 6. Remark 5. Assume that, for every φ ∈ Φ, the Markov chain {ξφ k , k ≥ 1} is ergodic with ergodic measure mφ on the σ -algebra B(Fφ). Then the Markov chain {ξn, n ≥ 0} is ergodic with ergodic measure m on the σ-algebra B(X) for which ∫ g(x)m(dx) = ∫ Sφ(g, x)mφ(dx)∫ Sφ(1, x)mφ(dx) , φ ∈ Φ, where Sφ(g, x) = Ex ∑ k g(ξk) ∏ j<k (1 − φ(ξj))φ(ξk). The proof follows from the relations∑ k<νφ g(ξk) νφ = ∑ l<n Ul(g)∑ l<n Ul(1) , Ul(g) = ∑ g(ξj)1{νφ l−1<j≤νφ l } and the ratio ergodic theorem. 7. Transient Markov chains in a locally compact space Definition. The Markov chain {ξn, n ≥ 0} in the locally compact space X is called transient iff the condition Px( ∑ k 1{ξk∈Ba(y)} < ∞) = 1 is fulfilled for all a > 0, x ∈ X, y ∈ X. It is easy to check that, for the transient Markov chain {ξk, k ≥ 0}, the relation Px( ∑ k 1{ξk∈C} < ∞) = 1 is fulfilled for any x ∈ X and a compact set C ⊂ X. 92 ANATOLY V. SKOROKHOD Lemma 7. The relation P (lim n d(x̄, ξn) = ∞) = 1 is fulfilled for any x̄ ∈ X. Proof. Set νr = Card{ξk : d(x̄, ξk)}, r = 1, 2, ·. Then νr are F∞ measurable random variables for which the relations P (ν1 ≤ ν2 ≤ · ≤ νm ≤ · < ∞) = 1, d(x̄, ξk) > r, k > νr are fulfilled. Lemma 7 is proved. Theorem 7. Let C ⊂ X be a compact set. Then the relation Ex ∑ k 1{ξk∈C} < ∞ is fulfilled for any x ∈ X. Proof. Introduce the random variables ρ(C) = ∑ k 1{ξk∈C}, ρn(C) = ∑ k≥n 1{ξk∈C}, and the stopping times θ1 = min{k : ξk ∈ C}, θ∗1 = min{k > θ1 : ξk ∈ C}, θn = min{k > θ∗n−1 : xik ∈ C}, θ∗n = min{k > θn : ξk ∈ C}, n > 1. Note that, for x ∈ C, the relations Px(θ1 = 0) = 1 and Px(θ∗1 ≥ l) ≥ Exg(C, ξl) are fulfilled, where l > 0, l ∈ N+ and g(C, z) = d(z, C) ∧ 1. Since Exg(C, ξl), x ∈ C, l > 0, l ∈ N+ is a continuous function, so inf x∈C Exg(C, ξl)) > 0 for some l > 0, l ∈ N+. The inequality Px(θ∗1 ≥ l) ≥ α, x ∈ C is fulfilled for some l ∈ N+ and α > 0. This implies the formula (8) sup x∈C Exθ∗1 ≤ l 1 − α . It is easy to see that the conditional distribution of the random variable θ∗n − θn with respect to the σ-algebra Fxθn coincides with the conditional distribution of the random variable θ1 with respect to the random variable ξ0 if ξ0 = ξθn . This follows from the strong Markov property of the Markov chain {ξk, k ≥ 0}. So the inequality (9) Ex(θ∗n − θn/Fθn) ≤ l 1 − α is fulfilled for all n for which Px(θn < ∞) > 0 HOMOGENEOUS MARKOV CHAINS IN COMPACT SPACES 93 and, in this case, P (θ∗n < ∞/Fθn) = 1{θn<∞}. Consider a sequence ηn = E(φ(ρn+1(C))/Fn, n > 0, where φ(t) = 1 − exp {−t}. The inequalities ρn(C) ≥ ρn+1(C), φ(ρn(C)) ≥ φ(ρn+1(C)) imply the relation E(ηn+1/Fn) ≤ ηn. So the sequence {ηn, n ≥ 0} is a non-negative supermartingale, and the relation (10) Px( sup n≤N ηn > a) ≤ ExηN a holds. Note that the sequence Exηn is decreasing to zero because of the relation Px(ρn(C) → 0) = 1. Let a = e − 1 e , and N0 = min{k : Exηk ≤ a 2 }. Then, for any l ∈ N+ for which θ∗l ≥ N0 and Px(θ∗l < ∞) > 0, the relation P (θl+1 < ∞/Fθ∗ l ) ≤ 1 2 . is fulfilled. Note that, for this l and k ∈ N+, k > 0, the relation P (θl+k < ∞/Fθ∗ l ) ≤ 1 2 E(1{θl+k−1<∞}/Fθ∗ l ) ≤ 1 2k . is fulfilled too. Using the relation ∑ n 1{ξn∈C} = ∑ i≥0 1{θi<∞} ∑ k 1{θi≤k<θ∗ i } we obtain the inequality Exρ(C) ≤ 1 1 − α Ex ∑ i≥0 Ex1{θi<∞} ≤ 1 1 − α (N0 + ∑ k≥0 1 2k ) < ∞. Theorem 7 is proved. Corollary 2. A function (11) Q(x, E) = Ex ∑ k 1{ξk∈E} is determined for all x ∈ X and E ∈ ⋃ n∈N+ B(Bn), 94 ANATOLY V. SKOROKHOD where Bn = Bn(x̄), x̄ is a point in X. Remark 6. Assume that the relation (12) ∑ k Px(ξk ∈ Ba(y)) > 0 is fulfilled for some y ∈ X and all a > 0. Then the formula Q(y, E) = Q(x, E) − Px(ξ0 ∈ E) − Px(ξ1 ∈ E) + Py(ξ0 ∈ E) + Py(ξ1 ∈ E) is valid. The proof follows from the proof of Lemma 2. Subharmonic functions in Rd Assume X = Rd. For a transient Markov chain {ξk, k ≥ 0}, consider the sequence of random variables ηn = min{|ξk| : k ≥ n}, n ≥ 0. Theorem 8. Let formula (10) be fulfilled for all x ∈ Rd and y ∈ Rd. Then the sequence {ηn, n ≥ 0} satisfies the conditions (i) ηn+1 ≥ ηn for all n ≥ 0; (ii) Px(supn ηn = ∞) = 1 for all x ∈ Rd; (iii) there exists a non-negative concave function g : R+ → R+ for which Exg(ηn) < ∞; (iv) set h(x) = Exg(η0), then {h(ξk), k ≥ 0} is a submartingale, so h(x) is a continuous submartingale function. Proof. Statement (i) follows from the definition of ηn, statement (ii) follows from Theo- rem 7. To prove statement (iii), it suffices to prove that, for a subsequence {nk, k ≥ 1} with nk ↑ ∞, there exists a function of the kind mentioned in (iii) for which Exg(ηnk ) < ∞ for all k ≥ 1. The relation lim a Px(|ηn| > a) = 0 for all n ∈ N+ implies the existence ofsequences {nk, k ≥ 1} and {pk, k ≥ 1}, pk ≥ 0, ∑ k pk = 1, for which Px( ∑ k pkηnk < ∞) = 1. Denote ζ = ∑ k pkηk. Then Px(0 ≤ ζ < ∞) = 1 and there exists a function g satisfying the conditions of statement (iii) for which Exg(ζ) < ∞, so ∞ > Exg(ζ) ≥ ∑ k pkEgnk . To prove statement (iv), consider a sequence ζn = E(g(ηn/Fn), n ≥ 0. HOMOGENEOUS MARKOV CHAINS IN COMPACT SPACES 95 The inequality ηn+1 ≥ ηn implies the relation E(ζn+1/Fn = E(g(ηn+1)/Fn) ≥ E(g(ηn)/Fn) = ζn so the sequence {ζn, n ≥ 0} is a submartingale and ζn = h(ξn) because of the strong Markov property of the Markov chain {ξn, n ≥ 0}. Theorem 8 is proved. Bibliography 1. N.M. Krylov and N.N. Bogolubov, The general measure theory and its application to dynamical systems of non-linear mechanics, Zapysky Kafedry Mat. Fiz. AN SSSR 3 (1937), 55-112. 2. N.M. Krylov and N.N. Bogolubov, On some problems of ergodic theory of stochastic systems, Zapysky Kafedry Mat. Fiz. AN SSSR 4 (1939), 243-287. 3. M.V. Bebutov, Markov chains with a compact state space, Matem.Sb. 10(52) (1942), 213-238. 4. A.N. Kolmogorov, Denumerable Markov chains, Bull. MGU 1 (1937), no. 3, 1-16. 5. S. Orey, Recurrent Markov chains, Pacific J. Math. 9 (1959), 805-827.
id nasplib_isofts_kiev_ua-123456789-4509
institution Digital Library of Periodicals of National Academy of Sciences of Ukraine
issn 0321-3900
language English
last_indexed 2025-12-07T13:13:18Z
publishDate 2007
publisher Інститут математики НАН України
record_format dspace
spelling Skorokhod, A.V.
2009-11-19T14:00:43Z
2009-11-19T14:00:43Z
2007
Homogeneous Markov chains in compact spaces / A.V. Skorokhod // Theory of Stochastic Processes. — 2007. — Т. 13 (29), № 3. — С. 80–95. — Бібліогр.: 5 назв.— англ.
0321-3900
https://nasplib.isofts.kiev.ua/handle/123456789/4509
519.21
For homogeneous Markov chains in a compact and locally compact spaces, the ergodic properties are investigated, using the notions of topological recurrence and connections.
en
Інститут математики НАН України
Homogeneous Markov chains in compact spaces
Article
published earlier
spellingShingle Homogeneous Markov chains in compact spaces
Skorokhod, A.V.
title Homogeneous Markov chains in compact spaces
title_full Homogeneous Markov chains in compact spaces
title_fullStr Homogeneous Markov chains in compact spaces
title_full_unstemmed Homogeneous Markov chains in compact spaces
title_short Homogeneous Markov chains in compact spaces
title_sort homogeneous markov chains in compact spaces
url https://nasplib.isofts.kiev.ua/handle/123456789/4509
work_keys_str_mv AT skorokhodav homogeneousmarkovchainsincompactspaces