Empirical investigation of the theory of production function, with the data of alloy production in Ukraine

In this research, a mathematical form of production function is investigated, which is a concept of microeconomics theory, with the actual data from the factory in Dnepropetrovsk Region of Ukraine, which produces the alloys from several input materials. A linear form of the production function was s...

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Published in:Системні дослідження та інформаційні технології
Date:2014
Main Authors: Matsuki, Y., Bidyuk, P., Kozyrev, V.
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Language:English
Published: Навчально-науковий комплекс "Інститут прикладного системного аналізу" НТУУ "КПІ" МОН та НАН України 2014
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Online Access:https://nasplib.isofts.kiev.ua/handle/123456789/85496
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Journal Title:Digital Library of Periodicals of National Academy of Sciences of Ukraine
Cite this:Empirical investigation of the theory of production function, with the data of alloy production in Ukraine / Y. Matsuki, P. Bidyuk, V. Kozyrev // Системні дослідження та інформаційні технології. — 2014. — № 2. — С. 29-39. — Бібліогр.: 1 назв. — англ.

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Digital Library of Periodicals of National Academy of Sciences of Ukraine
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author Matsuki, Y.
Bidyuk, P.
Kozyrev, V.
author_facet Matsuki, Y.
Bidyuk, P.
Kozyrev, V.
citation_txt Empirical investigation of the theory of production function, with the data of alloy production in Ukraine / Y. Matsuki, P. Bidyuk, V. Kozyrev // Системні дослідження та інформаційні технології. — 2014. — № 2. — С. 29-39. — Бібліогр.: 1 назв. — англ.
collection DSpace DC
container_title Системні дослідження та інформаційні технології
description In this research, a mathematical form of production function is investigated, which is a concept of microeconomics theory, with the actual data from the factory in Dnepropetrovsk Region of Ukraine, which produces the alloys from several input materials. A linear form of the production function was selected as the model, which consists of the variables that represent input materials together with their weighting factors, then the Lagrangean multiplier technique was used to transform this model in order to find the conditions for maximizing the output of the production, under a given cost constraint. The obtained conditions present the mathematical relations between the prices and the quantities of the input materials, which include unknown weighting factors. In order to get the values of the weighting factors, statistical analysis is made with the actual data. The result shows statistical significance of the model, therefore it is concluded that the selected linear function can be the production function. Проаналізовано математичну форму виробничої функції, яка є концепцією мікроекономічної теорії, з використанням фактичних даних, отриманих від підприємства в Дніпропетровській області України, яке виробляє сплави з декількох вхідних матеріалів. Лінійну форму виробничої функції було обрано в якості моделі, яка включає змінні, що представляють потоки вхідних матеріалів разом із своїми ваговими коефіцієнтами. Для розв’язання оптимізаційної задачі потім було застосовано метод множників Лагранжа для трансформації цієї моделі з метою визначення умови для максимізації об’єму вихідної продукції при обмеженні на видатки. Отримані умови представляють математичні співвідношення між ціною та об’ємом вхідних матеріалів, у тому числі невідомих вагових коефіцієнтів. Для того, щоб отримати значення вагових коефіцієнтів, виконано статистичний аналіз наявних фактичних даних. Отриманий результат свідчить про статистичну значущість моделі, а тому можна зробити висновок, що обрана лінійна функція може бути виробничою функцією. Проанализирована математическая форма производственной функции, которая является концепцией микроэкономической теории, с использованием фактических данных от предприятия в Днепропетровской области Украины, которые производит сплавы из нескольких входящих материалов. Линейная форма производственной функции была выбрана в качестве модели, состоящей из переменных, представляющих входящие материалы вместе со своими весовыми коэффициентами. Для решения оптимизационной задачи затем был применен метод множителей Лагранжа для трансформации этой модели с целью определения условий для максимизации объема выходной продукции при ограничениях на ресурсы. Полученные условия представляют математические соотношения между ценой и количеством входящих материалов, в том числе неизвестных весовых факторов. Для того, чтобы получить значения весовых коэффициентов, выполнен статистический анализ имеющихся фактических данных. Полученный результат свидетельствует о статистической значимости модели, поэтому можно сделать вывод, что выбранная линейная функция может быть производственной функцией.
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fulltext  Y. Matsuki, P. Bidyuk, V. Kozyrev, 2014 Системні дослідження та інформаційні технології, 2014, № 2 29 UDC 519.004.942 EMPIRICAL INVESTIGATION OF THE THEORY OF PRODUCTION FUNCTION, WITH THE DATA OF ALLOY PRODUCTION IN UKRAINE Y. MATSUKI, P. BIDYUK, V. KOZYREV In this research, a mathematical form of production function is investigated, which is a concept of microeconomics theory, with the actual data from the factory in Dne- propetrovsk Region of Ukraine, which produces the alloys from several input mate- rials. A linear form of the production function was selected as the model, which con- sists of the variables that represent input materials together with their weighting factors, then the Lagrangean multiplier technique was used to transform this model in order to find the conditions for maximizing the output of the production, under a given cost constraint. The obtained conditions present the mathematical relations between the prices and the quantities of the input materials, which include unknown weighting factors. In order to get the values of the weighting factors, statistical analysis is made with the actual data. The result shows statistical significance of the model, therefore it is concluded that the selected linear function can be the produc- tion function. INTRODUCTION Production function of the microeconomics theory [1] gives the information for decision-making in producing industrial materials. In the theory, the production function defines the optimal combination of input materials with their weighting factors. In order to specify the weighting factors, the Lagurangean multiplier technique [1] is used under the conditions for maximizing the production, which is given by cost constraint that is made of the prices of the materials together with their quantities. The mathematical forms of production function are given in the literatures of microeconomics, and Cobb-Douglas function [1] is known as an example in non- linear form. The procedure, the Lagrangean multiplier technique, of finding the conditions for maximizing the production under cost constraintis obtained from those literatures. In this research, a linear form of production function is selected, and the appropriateness of this form is tested with the data taken from the produc- tion system of alloy at a factory in Dnepropetrovsk of Ukraine. The data that are used in this analysis include quantities and the prices of the input materials, i.e., lime, bentonite, ore, gas, electricity as well as the quantity of the final product, iron ore and pellets. The descriptive statistics of those input materials are shown in Table 1 and 2. Correlations between the variables selected are given in Table 3. Figures 1–3 show time histories for the quantity of final products, prices of gas, electricity, ore, bentonite, and lime for 36 months. Figures 4–5 illustrate quantities dynamics for gas, bentonite, lime, electricity, and iron, ore also for 36 months. Y. Matsuki, P. Bidyuk, V. Kozyrev ISSN 1681–6048 System Research & Information Technologies, 2014, № 2 30 T a b l e 1 . Descriptive statistics of the prices of gas, electricity, ore, lime and bentonite Statistics Gas price (UAH/m3) Electricity price (UAH/kWh) Ore price (UAH/ton) Lime price (UAH/ton) Bentonite price (UAH/ton) Mean 1.9167 0.3667 9.0667 700.00 566.67 Median 1.9100 0.4000 7.9000 700.00 550.00 Max. 2.1600 0.4300 11.600 700.00 600.00 Min. 1.6800 0.2700 7.7000 700.00 550.00 Std.Dev 0.1988 0.0704 1.8186 0.0000 23.905 Skewness 0.0510 –0.6094 0.7005 NA 0.7071 Kurtosis 1.5000 1.5000 1.5000 NA 1.5000 Obs. 36 36 36 36 36 Note Max. — maximum value; Min. — minimum value; Std. Dev. — stan- dard deviation; Obs. — number of observations; NA — not available, because the lime price doesn’t change over 36 months in the obtained database. UAH — Ukrainian currency (hryvnya); kWh — kilo watt-hour. T a b l e 2 . Descriptive statistics of quantities of gas, electricity, ore, lime, ben- tonite and the final product Statistics Gas quantity Electricity quantity Ore quantity Lime quantity Bentonite quantity Final product quantity Mean 719570.6 18107646 3028497 44140.3 50020.2 1007887 Median 720530.0 18344268 3066452 43507.5 49443.5 998094.0 Max. 826160.0 20469762 3441243 50690.0 56923.0 1146490 Min. 620210.0 15400996 2568431 38676.0 42735.0 862363.0 Std.Dev 64555.82 1382721 253399.9 3807.67 4284.58 84840.57 Skewness –0.056677 –0.281579 –0.0740 0.2199 –0.0296 0.1906 Kurtosis 1.834927 2.2615 1.9633 1.8112 1.6549 2.1655 Obs. 36 36 36 36 36 36 F in al p ro du ct v ol um e Date Fig. 1. Quantity of final products for 36 months from January 2008 (tons) Empirical investigation of the theory of production function, with the data of alloy production … Системні дослідження та інформаційні технології, 2014, № 2 31 T a b l e 3 . Correlations of quantities and/or prices of the final product and input materials Variables Final product Gas price Electricity price Ore price Bentonite price Gas quantity Electricity quantity Ore quantity Lime quantity Bentonite quantity Final product 1 Gas price –0.2193 1 Electricity price –0.1896 0.9322 1 Ore price 0.1589 –0.8292 –0.9752 –1 Bentonite price –0.2121 0.8778 0.6449 –0.4600 1 Gas quantity –0.2175 0.2983 0.2213 –0.1596 0.3370 1 Electricity quantity 0.0719 0.1548 0.1773 –0.1794 0.0920 0.2842 1 Ore quantity 0.1454 –0.2165 –0.1238 0.0590 –0.2933 –0.1523 –0.0819 1 Lime quantity –0.0558 –0.0401 0.0268 –0.0659 –0.1202 –0.0736 0.1100 0.2609 1 Bentonite quantity 0.0325 0.0825 0.0868 –0.0837 0.0593 0.0632 0.2326 –0.1484 –0.3286 1 Fig. 2. Prices of gas, electricity, and ore for 36 months Fig. 3. Prices of bentonite and lime for 36 months Fig. 4. Quantities of gas, bentonite and lime for 36 months Fig. 5. Quantities of electricity and ore for 36 months Y. Matsuki, P. Bidyuk, V. Kozyrev ISSN 1681–6048 System Research & Information Technologies, 2014, № 2 32 Note: Lime price is omitted from this table because the lime price doesn’t change over the given 36 months as shown in Fig. 3, therefore it doesn’t have any correlation with other variables. METHODOLOGY Production function is a theory to indicate the levels of production of industrial materials with various input materials, ,iX where ,,....,2,1 ni  such as raw mate- rials,electricity and gas. The producers and/or sellers wish higher level of produc- tion, ),,...,,,( 321 nXXXXQ but the constraints are given by the total cost or budget, ,oC together with the prices ixP for different kinds of input materials iX respectively, where . 1 i n i x o XPC i   (1) Under this constraint, the condition for obtaining the maximum production is to be found, using the Lagrangean multiplier technique, as shown below: at first, the Lagrangean is defined as the follows: ),(),....,,( 1 321    n i ix o n XPCXXXXQZ i  (2) here,  is an unknown variable, which is called the “Lagrangean multiplier”. The first order condition to get the maximum production, ),,...,,,( 321 nXXXXQ is that the partial derivatives of Z by each of nXXXX ,...,,, 321 and  are equal to zero, i.e., ,0   ix ii PX Q X Z  (3) .0 1     n i ix o XPCZ i (4) For example, by dividing i-th equation by )1( i -th equation of the above (1)–(4), we get the following: , j i X X j i P P X Q X Q      (5) where, .ji  The above equation (5) means that the ratio of marginal production of inputs (the ratio of these two partial derivatives of production function by iX and jX ) should be equal to the ratio of the prices of these iX and jX in order to get the maximum production [1]. In other words, although producers and/or sellers wish to achieve the higher/larger production, the maximum production is always con- Empirical investigation of the theory of production function, with the data of alloy production … Системні дослідження та інформаційні технології, 2014, № 2 33 strained by the total cost or total budget and the prices, and the maximum produc- tion is obtained only where and/or when the ratio of marginal productions, j i X Q X Q     , and the ratio of the corresponding two prices, j i X X P P , are equal. This point is the equilibrium to achieve the maximum production, which is given under the total cost constraint (equation (1)). In other words, the production is at the maximum, and there is enough amount of budget when equation (5) is satisfied. The mathematical model of the production function needs to be found. In this research, a linear model (equation (6)) is assumed, and then empirical analy- sis is made for testing the fitting of the model to the actual data: , 1 i n i i XaQ    (6) where ,1 1   n i ia (7) here ia is a weighting factor to combine various input materials, iX , to make up a production function .Q In order to make the statistical test, the variables included in the equation (6) are not enough because the actual value of .Q is unknown, therefore this model needs to be transformed to the other linear equations, with the Lagrangean multi- plier technique as shown below, with which each quantity of input material, iX , can be mathematically indicated as the function of the total cost, ,oC and the prices of various input materials, ns xxxx PPPP ,...,,, 31 , together with rest of the other input materials, jX , where ,ji  which are available in the actual database. Then, the linear regression analysis can be carried out for the statistical test. For the linear model, , 1 i n i i XaQ    the Lagrangean is: ).(. 11 i n i X o i n i i XPCXaZ i    (8) Given the cost constraint, the first order condition for maximizing the pro- duction, , 1 i n i i Xa  is that the partial derivatives of Z by each of nXXXX ,...,,, 321 and  are equal to zero, i.e., ,0  iXi i PaX Z  (9) ,0 1     i n i x o XPCZ i (10) where, .,...,2,1 ni  Y. Matsuki, P. Bidyuk, V. Kozyrev ISSN 1681–6048 System Research & Information Technologies, 2014, № 2 34 From (9) .  i X a P i  (11) From (10) . 1 i n i X o XPC i   (12) Then, replace jXP of (12) by (11) to get: , 1 1     n i j j iX o X a XPC i  (13) where .ji  From (11) . 1 i X a P i  (14) Then, replace  1 of (13) by (14) to get: . 1 1 j n j i j X o i X a a P C X i     (15) The next step is to test if this model statistically fits in the actual data, upon the mathematical model shown in the equation (15). RESULTS For the statistical test, one more variable, the total cost, ,oC was calculated upon the equation (1), in addition to the variables shown in Table 1 and 2. Then, in or- der to get the coefficients of the production function, shown in the equation (6), the equation (15) was made up with combinations of the input materials. In Table 3, various combinations of the variables for input materials are shown. Then, the statistical test was made with the data. Also in Table 3, the value of R2 is shown on each combination of the input materials, which indicates how each model fits in the data. As the result, the model of the production with lime and bentonite shows the best values of .2R As shown in the model № 17 of Table 4, 2R of the model for the equation (15) with the quantity of lime as the dependent variable is 0,8238, and 2R of the model with the quantity of bentonite as the dependent variable is 0,7874, both of which satisfactory show the statistical fitting of the data on the mathematical model. More details of the statistical check of the model № 17 of Table 4 is shown in Table 5. Empirical investigation of the theory of production function, with the data of alloy production … Системні дослідження та інформаційні технології, 2014, № 2 35 T a b l e 4 . R2 of the linear functions № Model of equation (6) Model of equation (15) R2 Xlime=α1+α2*Co/Plime+α3*Xbentonite+α4*Xelectricity+α5*Xore+ +α6*Xgas 0.3645 Xbentonite=α1+α2*Co/Pbentonite+α3*Xlime+α4*Xelectricity+ +α5*Xore+α6*Xgas 0.2611 Xelectricity=α1+α2* Co/Pelectricity+α3*Xbentonite+α4*Xlime+ +α5*Xore+α6*Xgas 0.1801 Xore=α1+α2* Co/Pore+α3*Xbentonite+α4*Xelectricity+ +α5*Xlime+α6*Xgas 0.1015 1 gas*5 ore*4 yelectricit*3 bentonite*2 lime*1 Xa Xa Xa Xa XaQ      Xgas=α1+α2* Co/Pgas+α3*Xbentonite+α4*Xelectricity+ +α5*Xlime+α6*Xore 0.1364 Xlime=α1+α2* Co/Plime+α3*Xbentonite+α4*Xelectricity +α5*Xore 0.3559 Xbentonite=α1+α2* Co/Pbentonite+α3*Xlime+α4*Xelectricity +α5*Xore 0.2582 Xelectricity=α1+α2* Co/Pelectricity+α3*Xlime+α4*Xbentonite +α5*Xore 0.1150 2 ore*4 yelectricit*3 bentonite*2 lime*1 Xa Xa Xa XaQ     Xore=α1+α2* Co/Pore+α3*Xbentonite+α4*Xelectricity +α5*Xlime 0.0880 Xlime=α1+α2* Co/Plime+α3*Xbentonite+α4*Xgas +α5*Xore 0.2525 Xbentonite=α1+α2* Co/Pbentonite+α3*Xlime+α4*Xgas +α5*Xore 0.1638 Xgas=α1+α2* Co/Pgas+α3*Xbentonite+α4*Xlime +α5*Xore 0.0691 3 ore*4 gas*3 bentonite*2 lime*1 Xa Xa Xa XaQ     Xore=α1+α2* Co/Pore+α3*Xbentonite+α4*Xgas +α5*Xlime 0.1034 Xlime=α1+α2* Co/Plime+α3*Xbentonite+α4*Xelectricity +α5*Xgas 0.6109 Xbentonite=α1+α2* Co/Pbentonite+α3*Xlime+α4*Xelectricity +α5*Xgas 0.8124 Xelectricity=α1+α2* Co/Pelectricity+α3*Xlime+α4*Xbentonite +α5*Xgas 0.1753 4 gas*4 yelectricit*3 bentonite*2 lime*1 Xa Xa Xa XaQ     Xgas=α1+α2*Co/Pgas+α3*Xbentonite+α4*Xelectricity +α5*Xlime 0.1413 Xelectricity=α1+α2*Co/Pelectricity+α3*Xbentonite+α4*Xgas +α5*Xore 0.1343 Xbentonite=α1+α2*Co/Pbentonite+α3*Xelectricity+α4*Xgas +α5*Xore 0.2153 Xgas=α1+α2*Co/Pgas+α3*Xbentonite+α4*Xelectricity +α5*Xore 0.1211 5 ore*4 gas*3 bentonite*2 yelecteicit*1 Xa Xa Xa XaQ     Xore=α1+α2*Co/Pore+α3*Xbentonite+α4*Xgas +α5*Xelectricity 0.0855 Xelectricity=α1+α2*Co/Pelectricity+α3*Xlime+α4*Xgas +α5*Xore 0.1116 Xlime=α1+α2*Co/Plime+α3*Xelectricity+α4*Xgas +α5*Xore 0.2986 Xgas=α1+α2*Co/Pgas+α3*Xlime+α4*Xelectricity +α5*Xore 0.1323 6 ore*4 gas*3 lime*2 yelecteicit*1 Xa Xa Xa XaQ     Xore=α1+α2*Co/Pore+α3*Xlime+α4*Xgas +α5*Xelectricity 0.1302 Xlime=α1+α2*Co/Plime+α3*Xbentonite+α4*Xelectricity 0.8239 Xbentonite=α1+α2*Co/Pbentonite+α3*Xlime+α4*Xelectricity 0.6287 7 yelectricit*3 bentonite*2 lime*1 Xa Xa XaQ    Xelectricity=α1+α2*Co/Pelectricity+α3*Xlime+α4*Xbentonite 0.0965 Xlime=α1+α2*Co/Plime+α3*Xbentonite+α4*Xore 0.2488 Xbentonite=α1+α2*Co/Pbentonite+α3*Xlime+α4*Xore 0.1561 8 ore*3 bentonite*2 lime*1 Xa Xa XaQ    Xore=α1+α2*Co/Pore+α3*Xlime+α4*Xbentonite 0.0826 Xbentonite =α1+α2*Co/Pbentonite+α3*Xgas+α4*Xelectricity 0.8159 Xelectricity=α1+α2*Co/Pelectricity+α3*Xbentonite+α4* Xgas 0.1285 9 gas*3 yelectricit*2 bentonite*1 Xa Xa XaQ    Xgas=α1+α2*Co/Pgas+α3*Xelectricity+α4*Xbentonite 0.1050 Xore =α1+α2*Co/Pore+α3*Xgas+α4*Xelectricity 0.4047 Xelectricity=α1+α2*Co/Pelectricity+α3*Xore+α4* Xgas 0.0990 10 gas*3 yelectricit*2 ore*1 Xa Xa XaQ    Xgas=α1+α2*Co/Pgas+α3*Xelectricity+α4*Xore 0.1183 Xlime =α1+α2*Co/Plime+α3*Xgas+α4*Xelectricity 0.8002 Xelectricity=α1+α2*Co/Pelectricity+α3*Xlime+α4* Xgas 0.1010 11 gas*3 yelectricit*2 lime*1 Xa Xa XaQ    Xgas=α1+α2*Co/Pgas+α3*Xelectricity+α4*Xlime 0.1418 Y. Matsuki, P. Bidyuk, V. Kozyrev ISSN 1681–6048 System Research & Information Technologies, 2014, № 2 36 Continue of table 4 Xore =α1+α2*Co/Pore+α3*Xgas+α4*Xbentonite 0.1309 Xbentonite=α1+α2*Co/Pbentonite+α3*Xore+α4* Xgas 0.1160 12 gas*3 bentonite*2 ore*1 Xa Xa XaQ    Xgas=α1+α2*Co/Pgas+α3*Xbentonite+α4*Xore 0.0599 Xore =α1+α2*Co/Pore+α3*Xelectricity+α4*Xbentonite 0.0637 Xbentonite=α1+α2*Co/Pbentonite+α3*Xore+α4* Xelectricity 0.2088 13 yelectricit*3 bentonite*2 ore*1 Xa Xa XaQ    Xelectricity=α1+α2*Co/Pelectricity+α3*Xbentonite+α4*Xore 0.0727 Xore =α1+α2*Co/Pore+α3*Xgas+α4*Xlime 0.1665 Xlime=α1+α2*Co/Plime+α3*Xore+α4* Xgas 0.1939 14 gas*3 lime*2 ore*1 Xa Xa XaQ    Xgas=α1+α2*Co/Pgas+α3*Xlime+α4*Xore 0.0680 Xore =α1+α2*Co/Pore+α3*Xelectricity+α4*Xlime 0.1192 Xlime=α1+α2*Co/Plime+α3*Xore+α4* Xelectricity 0.2903 15 lime*3 yelectricit*2 ore*1 Xa Xa XaQ    Xelectricity=α1+α2*Co/Pelectricity+α3*Xlime+α4*Xore 0.0443 Xore =α1+α2*Co/Pore+α3*Xbentonite+α4*Xlime 0.0826 Xlime=α1+α2*Co/Plime+α3*Xore+α4* Xbentonite 0.2488 16 lime*3 bentonite*2 ore*1 Xa Xa XaQ    Xbentonite=α1+α2*Co/Pbentonite+α3*Xlime+α4*Xore 0.1561 Xlime=α1+α2*Co/Plime+α3*Xbentonite 0.8238 17 bentonite*2 lime*1 Xa XaQ   Xbentonite =α1+α2*Co/Pbentonite+α3*Xlime 0.7874 Xore=α1+α2*Co/Pore+α3*Xbentonite 0.1071 18 bentonite*2 ore*1 Xa XaQ   Xbetonie=α1+α2*Co/Pbentonite+α3*Xore 0.1045 Xore=α1+α2*Co/Pore+α3*Xlime 0.1517 19 lime*2 ore*1 Xa XaQ   Xlime=α1+α2*Co/Plime+α3*Xore 0.1889 Xore=α1+α2*Co/Pore+α3*Xelectricity 0.4564 20 bentonite*2 ore*1 Xa XaQ   Xelectricity=α1+α2*Co/Pelectricity+α3*Xore 0.0240 Xore=α1+α2*Co/Pore+α3*Xgas 0.9760 21 gas*2 ore*1 Xa XaQ   Xgas=α1+α2*Co/Pgas+α3*Xore 0.0564 Xlime=α1+α2*Co/Plime+α3*Xelectricity 0.8213 22 yelectricit*2 lime*1 Xa XaQ   Xelectricity =α1+α2*Co/Pelectricity+α3*Xlime 0.0239 Xlime=α1+α2*Co/Plime+α3*Xgas 0.9973 23 gas*2 lime*1 Xa XaQ   Xgas =α1+α2*Co/Pgas+α3*Xlime 0.0671 Xbentonite=α1+α2*Co/Pbentonite+α3*Xelectricity 0.8347 24 yelectricit*2 bentonite*1 Xa XaQ   Xelectricity =α1+α2*Co/Pelectricity+α3*Xbentonite 0.0597 Xbentonite=α1+α2*Co/Pbentonite+α3*Xgas 0.9985 25 gas*2 bentonite*1 Xa XaQ   Xgas =α1+α2*Co/Pgas+α3*Xbentonite 0.0340 Xelectricity=α1+α2*Co/Pelectricity+α3*Xgas 0.8974 26 gas*2 yelectricit*1 Xa XaQ   Xgas =α1+α2*Co/Pgas+α3*Xelectricity 0.1321 In Table 5, the T-statistics of each independent variable, the Akaike Informa- tion Criterion (AIC) and Shwartz Criterion don’t show sufficient statistical fitting. According to the mathematical model of the equation (16), the coefficient, , iX o PC should be 1.0, but in Table 5, the coefficients of ie o PC lim and bentonitPCo are 0,8368 and 0,7794. In this analysis, approximation is taken for the further steps of the analysis, and they are both assumed to be 1.0. Empirical investigation of the theory of production function, with the data of alloy production … Системні дослідження та інформаційні технології, 2014, № 2 37 T a b l e 5 . Statistical test on the linear model of production function with lime and bentonite Model Depen- dent Variable Independent Variable Coeffi- cient α1, α2 , … T- Statistics R2 AIC Schwartz Interception 10600 2.0064 Total cost (C0)/Lime price (Plime) 0.8368 11.581 Xlime=α1+α2*Co/ Plime+α3*Xbentonite Quantity of Lime (Xlime) Quantity of Ben- tonite (Xbentonite) –0.7455 –9.8316 0.8238 17.730 17.861 Interception 17038 2.7269 Total cost (C0)/Bentonite price (Pbentonite) 0.7794 10.271 Xbentonite= =α1++α2*Co/ Pbentonite+α3*Xlime Quantity of Ben- tonite (Xbentonite) Quantity of Lime (Xlime) –1.100869 –9.573509 0.7874 18.153 18.285 The next step is to estimate the weighting factors, which are indicated as the coefficients ia , where ni ,...,2,1 of the equation (6). When ,ij i j a a  (16) where, ij is the observed value of the coefficient that is obtained by the linear regression analysis, as shown in Table 5. From (15) and (16) , 1 1 j n j ij X o i X P C X i      (17) where . 1 1 1       n j ij i n j j a a  (18) From (7) .1 1 11     n j ji n i i aaa (19) Then, from (18) and (19) , 1 1 1      n j ij i i a a  (20) ,1 1 1     n j ijii aa  (21) Y. Matsuki, P. Bidyuk, V. Kozyrev ISSN 1681–6048 System Research & Information Technologies, 2014, № 2 38 .11 1 1             n j ijia  (22) Therefore . 1 1 1 1      n j ij ia  (23) From the equation (17) and the values of the coefficients of lime and ben- tonite in Table 4, the following 2 equations are obtained: ,74546,0 bentonit lim lime X P C X e o  (24) .10087,1 lime bentonit bentonit X P C X o  (25) With the equation (23) and the values of the coefficients in the equations (24) and (25), the following production function is obtained: .4760,05729,0 bentonitlime XXQ  (26) The correlation between the quantity of the final product and the calculated values upon the equation (26) is shown in Table 6. With data of 36 months from January 2008 to December 2010, the statistical values don’t show any fitting of the calculated value in the actual data. However, with the data of 12 months from January to December 2008, the statistical indicators show the improvement. The actual value of the final product quantity is 26,88 times larger than the calculated value, but the behavior in time series over 12 months show proportional rise and fall of the product, and therefore it shows a predictability of the final product upon quantity of bentonite and lime, as shown in Fig. 6. In this period, the first 12 months, the most of the prices of the input materials are stable as shown in Fig. 2 and Fig. 3, and it shows that the stable prices improved the predictability by the obtained production function in the equation (26). T a b l e 6 . Correlation between the final product quantity and the calculated value № Dependent Variable Independent Variable Coefficient T- Statistics R2 AIC Schwartz Durbin- Watson Interception 1053544 3.8250 1 Final product quantity Calculated Q –0.7414 –0.1323 0.0005 25.500 25.588 2.0003 Interception –272693.4 –0.4470 2 Final product quantity Calculated Q 26.8764 2.1457 0.3153 24.989 25.070 1.4704 In Table 5 data is from January 2008 to December 2010. In Table 6 data is from January 2008 to December 2008. Empirical investigation of the theory of production function, with the data of alloy production … Системні дослідження та інформаційні технології, 2014, № 2 39 CONCLUSIONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS Upon the analysis of the given data of the alloy production in Dnepropetrovsk, it is concluded that the productivity of the manufacturing process can be predicted by the linear form of the production function, as long as the prices of the input materials are stable. Fewer numbers of input variables can predict the quantity of the final prod- ucts. In this analysis, only the quantities of bentonite and lime are the input vari- ables of the production function, given that the prices are stable; and, the other input materials and utilities, ore, electricity and gas were not used. On this analysis, the obtained quantity of the final product by the obtained utility function needs to be multiplied by the factor of about 27, because of the fewer input variables included in the production function. Further research and analysis are needed for different production systems and products, to compare the results with this analysis. REFERENCE 1. Browning E.K., Browning J.M. Microeconomic Theory and Application, Third Edi- tion. — Glenview: Scott, Foresman and Company, 1989. — 637 p. Received 08.09.2013 F in al p ro d u ct vo lu m e C al cu la te Рис. 6. Comparison of the quantity of final product and the calculated value in 2008
id nasplib_isofts_kiev_ua-123456789-85496
institution Digital Library of Periodicals of National Academy of Sciences of Ukraine
issn 1681–6048
language English
last_indexed 2025-12-07T18:41:44Z
publishDate 2014
publisher Навчально-науковий комплекс "Інститут прикладного системного аналізу" НТУУ "КПІ" МОН та НАН України
record_format dspace
spelling Matsuki, Y.
Bidyuk, P.
Kozyrev, V.
2015-08-06T19:28:29Z
2015-08-06T19:28:29Z
2014
Empirical investigation of the theory of production function, with the data of alloy production in Ukraine / Y. Matsuki, P. Bidyuk, V. Kozyrev // Системні дослідження та інформаційні технології. — 2014. — № 2. — С. 29-39. — Бібліогр.: 1 назв. — англ.
1681–6048
https://nasplib.isofts.kiev.ua/handle/123456789/85496
519.004.942
In this research, a mathematical form of production function is investigated, which is a concept of microeconomics theory, with the actual data from the factory in Dnepropetrovsk Region of Ukraine, which produces the alloys from several input materials. A linear form of the production function was selected as the model, which consists of the variables that represent input materials together with their weighting factors, then the Lagrangean multiplier technique was used to transform this model in order to find the conditions for maximizing the output of the production, under a given cost constraint. The obtained conditions present the mathematical relations between the prices and the quantities of the input materials, which include unknown weighting factors. In order to get the values of the weighting factors, statistical analysis is made with the actual data. The result shows statistical significance of the model, therefore it is concluded that the selected linear function can be the production function.
Проаналізовано математичну форму виробничої функції, яка є концепцією мікроекономічної теорії, з використанням фактичних даних, отриманих від підприємства в Дніпропетровській області України, яке виробляє сплави з декількох вхідних матеріалів. Лінійну форму виробничої функції було обрано в якості моделі, яка включає змінні, що представляють потоки вхідних матеріалів разом із своїми ваговими коефіцієнтами. Для розв’язання оптимізаційної задачі потім було застосовано метод множників Лагранжа для трансформації цієї моделі з метою визначення умови для максимізації об’єму вихідної продукції при обмеженні на видатки. Отримані умови представляють математичні співвідношення між ціною та об’ємом вхідних матеріалів, у тому числі невідомих вагових коефіцієнтів. Для того, щоб отримати значення вагових коефіцієнтів, виконано статистичний аналіз наявних фактичних даних. Отриманий результат свідчить про статистичну значущість моделі, а тому можна зробити висновок, що обрана лінійна функція може бути виробничою функцією.
Проанализирована математическая форма производственной функции, которая является концепцией микроэкономической теории, с использованием фактических данных от предприятия в Днепропетровской области Украины, которые производит сплавы из нескольких входящих материалов. Линейная форма производственной функции была выбрана в качестве модели, состоящей из переменных, представляющих входящие материалы вместе со своими весовыми коэффициентами. Для решения оптимизационной задачи затем был применен метод множителей Лагранжа для трансформации этой модели с целью определения условий для максимизации объема выходной продукции при ограничениях на ресурсы. Полученные условия представляют математические соотношения между ценой и количеством входящих материалов, в том числе неизвестных весовых факторов. Для того, чтобы получить значения весовых коэффициентов, выполнен статистический анализ имеющихся фактических данных. Полученный результат свидетельствует о статистической значимости модели, поэтому можно сделать вывод, что выбранная линейная функция может быть производственной функцией.
en
Навчально-науковий комплекс "Інститут прикладного системного аналізу" НТУУ "КПІ" МОН та НАН України
Системні дослідження та інформаційні технології
Прогресивні інформаційні технології, високопродуктивні комп’ютерні системи
Empirical investigation of the theory of production function, with the data of alloy production in Ukraine
Емпіричні дослідження теорії виробничої функції за даними стосовно виробництва сплавів в Україні
Эмпирические исследования теории производственной функции с данным производства сплавов в Украине
Article
published earlier
spellingShingle Empirical investigation of the theory of production function, with the data of alloy production in Ukraine
Matsuki, Y.
Bidyuk, P.
Kozyrev, V.
Прогресивні інформаційні технології, високопродуктивні комп’ютерні системи
title Empirical investigation of the theory of production function, with the data of alloy production in Ukraine
title_alt Емпіричні дослідження теорії виробничої функції за даними стосовно виробництва сплавів в Україні
Эмпирические исследования теории производственной функции с данным производства сплавов в Украине
title_full Empirical investigation of the theory of production function, with the data of alloy production in Ukraine
title_fullStr Empirical investigation of the theory of production function, with the data of alloy production in Ukraine
title_full_unstemmed Empirical investigation of the theory of production function, with the data of alloy production in Ukraine
title_short Empirical investigation of the theory of production function, with the data of alloy production in Ukraine
title_sort empirical investigation of the theory of production function, with the data of alloy production in ukraine
topic Прогресивні інформаційні технології, високопродуктивні комп’ютерні системи
topic_facet Прогресивні інформаційні технології, високопродуктивні комп’ютерні системи
url https://nasplib.isofts.kiev.ua/handle/123456789/85496
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