ВИЗНАЧЕННЯ СЦЕНАРІЇВ ВИРОБНИЦТВА ВАЛОВОГО РЕГІОНАЛЬНОГО ПРОДУКТУ

• Datum: 2016
• Hauptverfasser: Gudz, P.V., Gudz, M.V.
• Format: Artikel
• Sprache: Ukrainian
• Veröffentlicht: V. Mamutov Institute of Economic and Legal Research of the National Academy of Sciences of Ukraine 2016
• Online Zugang: https://economiclaw.kiev.ua/index.php/economiclaw/article/view/108
• Назва журналу: Economics and Law

The article describes the contents of calculation of gross regional product. Determined by its role in the aggregate economic indicators of the current and future economic development of the region. The constructed economic-mathematical model of dependence GRP from a number of economic factors. Comparative analysis of actual and estimated volumes of GRP. Substantiated forecast of the GRP in accordance with the dynamics of the value factors on the basis of correlation and regression analysis. Justified the most probabilistic scenario of production of GRP according to the criterion of the average value of the dynamics of the factors of the previous years. REFERENCES1. Danylyshyn B.M., Chernyuk L.H. and Fashchevs’kyj M.I. (2007), Prostorova organizaciya prodyktyvnych syl Ukrayiny: mezo- tа mikroregional’nyj riven’ [The spatial organization of the productive forces of Ukraine: mesolevel and mikrorehionalnyy], Knyha-Veha, Vinnytsia, Ukraine.2. Matrosova L.M. and Prudnikova L.O. (2008), Analysis of methodologies which assess the socio-economic development in regions, Ekonomichnyj visnyk Donbasu, vol. 3, pp. 69-72.3. Guseva M.O. (2005), The structural transformations of the region economy : assessment of priorities and structural adjustment, Regional’na ekonomika, vol. 3, pp. 19-26.4. Kolomyceva О.V. (2008), Structural changes in the economy: the nature and direction of transformation, Produktyvni syly i regional’na ekonomika, vol. 2, pp. 186-191.5. Lyashevs’ka О.I. (2011), The Gross Regional Product in the mechanism of economic indicators,Teoriya ta praktyka derzhavnoho upravlinnya, vol. 3 (34), pp. 262-267.6. Korolkov V.V. (2009), The features of account the technical progress factor in production function, Ekonomaka i prohnozuvannya, vol. № 2, pp. 97-109.7. Konach S.S. (2004), The role of service sectors in GDP formation, Molodyi vchenyj, vol. № 12 (15), pp. 159-162.8. The official site of State Statistics Service of Ukraine (2004), Guidelines on the calculation of the gross regional product production method, available at: http://www.ukrstat.gov.ua/metod_polog/metod_doc/nr/nr_07.pdf (Accessed 2 June 2016).9. The official site of State Statistics Service of Ukraine (2015), Regions of Ukraine 2014. Statistical yearbook,available at: https://ukrstat.org/uk/druk/publicat/kat_u/publ2_u.htm (Accessed 2 June 2016).10. Nikiitina І.M. (Ed.) (2005), Gross regional product: 2004-2014. Statystychnyj zbirnyk, Derzhavnа sluzhba statystyky Ukrayiny, Кyiv, Ukraine.11. Holoveszka V.P. (Ed.) (2015), Statistical Yearbook of Zaporozhye region in 2014, Holovne upravlinnya statystyky u Zaporizkii oblasti, Zaporizhzhia, Ukraine.12. The official site of Zaporizhzhya Regional State Administration (2016), Zaporizhzhia oblast Regional Development Strategy — 2020, available at: http://www.zoda.gov.ua/article/2264/strategiya-regionalnogo-rozvitkuzaporizkoji-oblasti-na-period-do-2020-roku.html (Accessed 2 June 2016).13. The Global Technology Revolution 2020, In-Depth Analyses.Bio/Nano/Materials/Information Trends, Drivers, Barriers, and Social Implications, available at: http://www.rand.org/pubs/technical_reports/TR303.html (Accessed 1 June 2016).