Російсько-український конфлікт: виклики для зернового ринку
The war with Russia has become a real threat of food inflation and famine. Therefore, the issue ofthe grain market functioning in Ukraine during the war and the development of priority measures for stabilization is extremely important. Based on the forecasts, the key factors in the formation of the...
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| Datum: | 2022 |
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| Sprache: | Ukrainian |
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Odesa National University of Technology
2022
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Food Industry Economics| id |
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Food Industry Economics |
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2022-07-19T17:10:56Z |
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Ukrainian |
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Article |
| author |
Савенко, І. І. Седікова, І. О. Седіков, Д. В. |
| spellingShingle |
Савенко, І. І. Седікова, І. О. Седіков, Д. В. Російсько-український конфлікт: виклики для зернового ринку |
| author_facet |
Савенко, І. І. Седікова, І. О. Седіков, Д. В. |
| author_sort |
Савенко, І. І. |
| title |
Російсько-український конфлікт: виклики для зернового ринку |
| title_short |
Російсько-український конфлікт: виклики для зернового ринку |
| title_full |
Російсько-український конфлікт: виклики для зернового ринку |
| title_fullStr |
Російсько-український конфлікт: виклики для зернового ринку |
| title_full_unstemmed |
Російсько-український конфлікт: виклики для зернового ринку |
| title_sort |
російсько-український конфлікт: виклики для зернового ринку |
| title_alt |
Russian-ukrainian conflict: challenges for the grain market |
| description |
The war with Russia has become a real threat of food inflation and famine. Therefore, the issue ofthe grain market functioning in Ukraine during the war and the development of priority measures for stabilization is extremely important. Based on the forecasts, the key factors in the formation of the cereals and oilseeds crops structure for the harvest of 2022 have been determined, namely the physical unavailability ofmore than 30 % of the area; difficulties in obtaining seeds of crops; lack of export through ports. Grain stockshave been analyzed and it has been envisaged that a large number of farmers will sell stocks of cereals oroilseeds before spring sowing to replenish working capital. The problem is particularly acute in the areasclose to the front line, where trade is very weak; availability of resources - farmers need to use the resourcesavailable in their area taking into account logistical issues. The key points of the state's encouragement offarmers to conduct food security campaigns have been identified.Summarizing the estimates and forecasts, we can note: a key factor in shaping the crops structure ofcereals and oilseeds for the harvest of 2022 will be the physical unavailability of more than 30 % of the areadue to hostilities and their consequences; difficulties in obtaining seeds of crops that depend on importedsupplies will lead to an even greater reduction in harvesting of these crops; the lack of exports of corn andsunflower oil through the ports forms significant remnants of these crops in Ukraine in low demand. Cerealsinclude wheat, barley and cereals - buckwheat, peas, oats. Among oil compensatory crops there can besoybeans, flax; also, when forming crops we should take into account the peculiarities of storage of cropsthat are planned for cultivation to minimize losses.During martial law, the state tries to encourage farmers to conduct food security campaigns. Amongthe key points are: the Law of Ukraine «On Amendments to Certain Legislative Acts of Ukraine on CreatingConditions for Ensuring Food Security in Martial Law»; a decree simplifying the import of seeds; decisions ontemporary abolition of excise duty and reduction of VAT rate on fuel to 7%, access of farmers to credit resources - loans at 0% interest rate, provision of credit lines for Ukrainian farmers. Methodological and practical aspects of studying the functioning problems of the grain market during the war have been further developed. |
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Odesa National University of Technology |
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2022 |
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//journals.ontu.edu.ua/index.php/fie/article/view/2320 |
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oai:ojs.pkp.sfu.ca:article-23202022-07-19T17:10:56Z Russian-ukrainian conflict: challenges for the grain market Російсько-український конфлікт: виклики для зернового ринку Савенко, І. І. Седікова, І. О. Седіков, Д. В. The war with Russia has become a real threat of food inflation and famine. Therefore, the issue ofthe grain market functioning in Ukraine during the war and the development of priority measures for stabilization is extremely important. Based on the forecasts, the key factors in the formation of the cereals and oilseeds crops structure for the harvest of 2022 have been determined, namely the physical unavailability ofmore than 30 % of the area; difficulties in obtaining seeds of crops; lack of export through ports. Grain stockshave been analyzed and it has been envisaged that a large number of farmers will sell stocks of cereals oroilseeds before spring sowing to replenish working capital. The problem is particularly acute in the areasclose to the front line, where trade is very weak; availability of resources - farmers need to use the resourcesavailable in their area taking into account logistical issues. The key points of the state's encouragement offarmers to conduct food security campaigns have been identified.Summarizing the estimates and forecasts, we can note: a key factor in shaping the crops structure ofcereals and oilseeds for the harvest of 2022 will be the physical unavailability of more than 30 % of the areadue to hostilities and their consequences; difficulties in obtaining seeds of crops that depend on importedsupplies will lead to an even greater reduction in harvesting of these crops; the lack of exports of corn andsunflower oil through the ports forms significant remnants of these crops in Ukraine in low demand. Cerealsinclude wheat, barley and cereals - buckwheat, peas, oats. Among oil compensatory crops there can besoybeans, flax; also, when forming crops we should take into account the peculiarities of storage of cropsthat are planned for cultivation to minimize losses.During martial law, the state tries to encourage farmers to conduct food security campaigns. Amongthe key points are: the Law of Ukraine «On Amendments to Certain Legislative Acts of Ukraine on CreatingConditions for Ensuring Food Security in Martial Law»; a decree simplifying the import of seeds; decisions ontemporary abolition of excise duty and reduction of VAT rate on fuel to 7%, access of farmers to credit resources - loans at 0% interest rate, provision of credit lines for Ukrainian farmers. Methodological and practical aspects of studying the functioning problems of the grain market during the war have been further developed. Війна з Росією стала реальною загрозою продовольчої інфляції та голоду. Тому питання фун-кціонування ринку зерна в Україні в умовах війни та розробка пріоритетних заходів щодо стабілізації євкрай актуальним. На основі прогнозів визначено ключові фактори при формуванні структури посівівзернових та олійних культур під урожай 2022 р., а саме фізична недоступність понад 30 %площ; складнощі з одержанням насіння культур; відсутність експорту через порти. Проаналізованозапаси зернових та передбачено, що велика кількість фермерів продасть запаси зернових або олій-них культур перед весняним посівом, задля поповнення оборотного капіталу. Проблема особливо гос-тро постає в районах, близьких до лінії фронту, де торгівля дуже слабка; наявності ресурсів – ферме-рам необхідно використовувати ресурси, наявні в їх місцевості з врахування логістичних питань. Ви-значено ключові моменти заохочення державою аграріїв проводити кампанії з продовольчої безпеки.Набули подальшого розвитку методико-практичні аспекти щодо дослідження проблем функці-онування зернового ринку в умовах війни. Odesa National University of Technology 2022-07-19 Article Article application/pdf //journals.ontu.edu.ua/index.php/fie/article/view/2320 10.15673/fie.v14i2.2320 Food Industry Economics; Vol 14 No 2 (2022): ЕКОНОМІКА ХАРЧОВОЇ ПРОМИСЛОВОСТІ Food Industry Economics; Том 14 № 2 (2022): ЕКОНОМІКА ХАРЧОВОЇ ПРОМИСЛОВОСТІ Food Industry Economics; Том 14 № 2 (2022): ЕКОНОМІКА ХАРЧОВОЇ ПРОМИСЛОВОСТІ 2312-847X 2411-4111 10.15673/fie.v14i2 uk //journals.ontu.edu.ua/index.php/fie/article/view/2320/2509 Авторське право (c) 2022 Food Industry Economics |