ДЕТЕРМІНОВАНО-СТОХАСТИЧНЕ МОДЕЛЮВАННЯ ВИРОБНИЦТВА ЕЛЕКТРОЕНЕРГІЇ В ОБ’ЄДНАНИХ ЕНЕРГОСИСТЕМАХ НА ДОВГОСТРОКОВУ ПЕРСПЕКТИВУ
In this paper the issue of forecasting electricity production for a long term perspective with the use of UP-DOWN method and deterministic-stochastic modeling is considered. The reasonability of using deterministic-stochastic modeling for solving such tasks is explained. The special aspects of forec...
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| Date: | 2014 |
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| Main Authors: | , |
| Format: | Article |
| Language: | Ukrainian |
| Published: |
Інститут електродинаміки НАН України, Київ
2014
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| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | https://techned.org.ua/index.php/techned/article/view/1035 |
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| Journal Title: | Technical Electrodynamics |
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Technical Electrodynamics| Summary: | In this paper the issue of forecasting electricity production for a long term perspective with the use of UP-DOWN method and deterministic-stochastic modeling is considered. The reasonability of using deterministic-stochastic modeling for solving such tasks is explained. The special aspects of forecasting electricity consumption on macro level UP and sectoral level DOWN on the base of interaction detection models are described as well as structure and principle of operation of developed deterministic-stochastic model for adjusting the results of forecasting. The input data and the results of calculation of electricity production in Ukraine up to 2030 are presented. References 4, tables 2. |
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