Tax Factors of Economic Dynamics: Analysis Based on the Modified IS–LM Model

Background. Taxation is a fundamental instrument of macroeconomic policy, and its influence across various economic and social domains remains one of the most significant subjects of research. Particular attention is devoted to examining the capacity of taxation to regulate economic cycles, shape dy...

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Date:2026
Main Authors: Merkulova, Tamara, Bitkova, Tetiana, Nikolaeva, Olena, Stetsenko, Tetiana
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Dr. Viktor Koval 2026
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Online Access:https://ees-journal.com/index.php/journal/article/view/337
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Journal Title:Economics Ecology Socium

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Economics Ecology Socium
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author Merkulova, Tamara
Bitkova, Tetiana
Nikolaeva, Olena
Stetsenko, Tetiana
author_facet Merkulova, Tamara
Bitkova, Tetiana
Nikolaeva, Olena
Stetsenko, Tetiana
author_sort Merkulova, Tamara
baseUrl_str https://ees-journal.com/index.php/journal/oai
collection OJS
datestamp_date 2026-03-28T13:14:19Z
description Background. Taxation is a fundamental instrument of macroeconomic policy, and its influence across various economic and social domains remains one of the most significant subjects of research. Particular attention is devoted to examining the capacity of taxation to regulate economic cycles, shape dynamic processes, and affect the market equilibrium of an economic system. The development of dynamic models of economic equilibrium incorporating endogenous tax factors as a methodological foundation for macroeconomic policy constitutes a significant research objective. Purpose. This study examines the impact of taxation indicators on macroeconomic dynamics within the dynamic IS–LM framework, incorporating endogenous taxes, mathematical and simulation analyses of oscillatory conditions, and assessment of the influence of tax variables on dynamic regimes. Findings. This study presents a modified IS-LM model with endogenous taxes, demonstrating the potential influence of taxation on the type of dynamics of economic systems, particularly the exit from the fluctuation zone and vice versa. The theoretical analysis of the model consists of two stages: 1) mathematical analysis of the tax parameter’s influence on the type of dynamics of the economic system, and 2) simulation analysis based on the System Dynamics concept. As a result of the first stage, mathematically justified bounds for the tax rate were obtained, which determine its potential (in combination with other parameters) to reflect the diversity of economic systems. In particular, it is shown that for certain values of other model parameters, the transition from fluctuations is possible with both a high tax burden (e.g. above 50%) and a low one (e.g. 20% or below). Implications. The simulation model developed using the System Dynamics concept demonstrates the possibility of analysing feedback loops that include key variables of the model, revealing reinforcing or balancing mechanisms within closed chains of endogenous variables, and of multivariate calculations and analysis of the impact of various combinations of exogenous parameters on selected response functions (GDP or Interest rate) with the subsequent development of regression meta-models.
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spelling oai:ojs2.www.ees-journal.com:article-3372026-03-28T13:14:19Z Tax Factors of Economic Dynamics: Analysis Based on the Modified IS–LM Model Tax Factors of Economic Dynamics: Analysis Based on the Modified IS–LM Model Merkulova, Tamara Bitkova, Tetiana Nikolaeva, Olena Stetsenko, Tetiana Business Cycles, IS-LM Model, Fiscal Policy, Market Equilibrium, System Dynamics. Business Cycles, IS-LM Model, Fiscal Policy, Market Equilibrium, System Dynamics. Background. Taxation is a fundamental instrument of macroeconomic policy, and its influence across various economic and social domains remains one of the most significant subjects of research. Particular attention is devoted to examining the capacity of taxation to regulate economic cycles, shape dynamic processes, and affect the market equilibrium of an economic system. The development of dynamic models of economic equilibrium incorporating endogenous tax factors as a methodological foundation for macroeconomic policy constitutes a significant research objective. Purpose. This study examines the impact of taxation indicators on macroeconomic dynamics within the dynamic IS–LM framework, incorporating endogenous taxes, mathematical and simulation analyses of oscillatory conditions, and assessment of the influence of tax variables on dynamic regimes. Findings. This study presents a modified IS-LM model with endogenous taxes, demonstrating the potential influence of taxation on the type of dynamics of economic systems, particularly the exit from the fluctuation zone and vice versa. The theoretical analysis of the model consists of two stages: 1) mathematical analysis of the tax parameter’s influence on the type of dynamics of the economic system, and 2) simulation analysis based on the System Dynamics concept. As a result of the first stage, mathematically justified bounds for the tax rate were obtained, which determine its potential (in combination with other parameters) to reflect the diversity of economic systems. In particular, it is shown that for certain values of other model parameters, the transition from fluctuations is possible with both a high tax burden (e.g. above 50%) and a low one (e.g. 20% or below). Implications. The simulation model developed using the System Dynamics concept demonstrates the possibility of analysing feedback loops that include key variables of the model, revealing reinforcing or balancing mechanisms within closed chains of endogenous variables, and of multivariate calculations and analysis of the impact of various combinations of exogenous parameters on selected response functions (GDP or Interest rate) with the subsequent development of regression meta-models. Background. Taxation is a fundamental instrument of macroeconomic policy, and its influence across various economic and social domains remains one of the most significant subjects of research. Particular attention is devoted to examining the capacity of taxation to regulate economic cycles, shape dynamic processes, and affect the market equilibrium of an economic system. The development of dynamic models of economic equilibrium incorporating endogenous tax factors as a methodological foundation for macroeconomic policy constitutes a significant research objective. Purpose. This study examines the impact of taxation indicators on macroeconomic dynamics within the dynamic IS–LM framework, incorporating endogenous taxes, mathematical and simulation analyses of oscillatory conditions, and assessment of the influence of tax variables on dynamic regimes. Findings. This study presents a modified IS-LM model with endogenous taxes, demonstrating the potential influence of taxation on the type of dynamics of economic systems, particularly the exit from the fluctuation zone and vice versa. The theoretical analysis of the model consists of two stages: 1) mathematical analysis of the tax parameter’s influence on the type of dynamics of the economic system, and 2) simulation analysis based on the System Dynamics concept. As a result of the first stage, mathematically justified bounds for the tax rate were obtained, which determine its potential (in combination with other parameters) to reflect the diversity of economic systems. In particular, it is shown that for certain values of other model parameters, the transition from fluctuations is possible with both a high tax burden (e.g. above 50%) and a low one (e.g. 20% or below). Implications. The simulation model developed using the System Dynamics concept demonstrates the possibility of analysing feedback loops that include key variables of the model, revealing reinforcing or balancing mechanisms within closed chains of endogenous variables, and of multivariate calculations and analysis of the impact of various combinations of exogenous parameters on selected response functions (GDP or Interest rate) with the subsequent development of regression meta-models. Dr. Viktor Koval 2026-03-28 Article Article Peer-reviewed Article application/pdf https://ees-journal.com/index.php/journal/article/view/337 10.61954/2616-7107/2026.10.1-11 Economics Ecology Socium; Vol. 10 No. 1 (2026): Economics Ecology Socium; 176-185 Економіка Екологія Соціум; Том 10 № 1 (2026): Economics Ecology Socium; 176-185 2616-7107 2616-7107 10.61954/2616-7107/2026.10.1 en https://ees-journal.com/index.php/journal/article/view/337/290 Copyright (c) 2026 Economics Ecology Socium https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0
spellingShingle Business Cycles
IS-LM Model
Fiscal Policy
Market Equilibrium
System Dynamics.
Merkulova, Tamara
Bitkova, Tetiana
Nikolaeva, Olena
Stetsenko, Tetiana
Tax Factors of Economic Dynamics: Analysis Based on the Modified IS–LM Model
title Tax Factors of Economic Dynamics: Analysis Based on the Modified IS–LM Model
title_alt Tax Factors of Economic Dynamics: Analysis Based on the Modified IS–LM Model
title_full Tax Factors of Economic Dynamics: Analysis Based on the Modified IS–LM Model
title_fullStr Tax Factors of Economic Dynamics: Analysis Based on the Modified IS–LM Model
title_full_unstemmed Tax Factors of Economic Dynamics: Analysis Based on the Modified IS–LM Model
title_short Tax Factors of Economic Dynamics: Analysis Based on the Modified IS–LM Model
title_sort tax factors of economic dynamics: analysis based on the modified is–lm model
topic Business Cycles
IS-LM Model
Fiscal Policy
Market Equilibrium
System Dynamics.
topic_facet Business Cycles
IS-LM Model
Fiscal Policy
Market Equilibrium
System Dynamics.
Business Cycles
IS-LM Model
Fiscal Policy
Market Equilibrium
System Dynamics.
url https://ees-journal.com/index.php/journal/article/view/337
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AT bitkovatetiana taxfactorsofeconomicdynamicsanalysisbasedonthemodifiedislmmodel
AT nikolaevaolena taxfactorsofeconomicdynamicsanalysisbasedonthemodifiedislmmodel
AT stetsenkotetiana taxfactorsofeconomicdynamicsanalysisbasedonthemodifiedislmmodel