Використання програми «SPROS» для прогнозування попиту на енергетичні ресурси

The paper presents the structure, working principle, and interface of the developed new computer program «SPROS», which enables one, to perform fast calculations of the projected demand for all types of fuel and energy with using the method of complex forecasting for different consumer groups at the...

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Datum:2017
Hauptverfasser: Spitkovskyi A.I., Maliarenko O.Ye., Stanytsina V.V., Maistrenko N.Yu.
Format: Artikel
Sprache:Ukrainian
Veröffentlicht: General Energy Institute of the National Academy of Sciences of Ukraine 2017
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Online Zugang:https://systemre.org/index.php/journal/article/view/598
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Назва журналу:System Research in Energy

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System Research in Energy
Beschreibung
Zusammenfassung:The paper presents the structure, working principle, and interface of the developed new computer program «SPROS», which enables one, to perform fast calculations of the projected demand for all types of fuel and energy with using the method of complex forecasting for different consumer groups at the selected hierarchical levels of economy structure. The program makes it possible to harmonize the predictions of energy consumption based on the forecasts at TOP- and DOWN-levels made by different methods for different parameters of energy efficiency. Our program takes into account the separately calculated potentials of energy saving caused by structural and technological changes in the economy and enables one to estimate  the projected energy demand for different levels of economy structure with a high degree of convergence.