Моделювання динаміки ринку криптовалют з використанням інструментів машинного навчання
The article analyzes the dynamics of the cryptocurrency market (Bitcoin) using econometric estimation tools based on machine learning models. The forecasting method is improved based on time series decomposition and lagged shifts of financial indicators. An ensemble of short-term forecast models for...
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| Date: | 2023 |
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| Main Authors: | , , |
| Format: | Article |
| Language: | Ukrainian |
| Published: |
The National Technical University of Ukraine "Igor Sikorsky Kyiv Polytechnic Institute"
2023
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| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | http://journal.iasa.kpi.ua/article/view/283237 |
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| Journal Title: | System research and information technologies |
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System research and information technologies| Summary: | The article analyzes the dynamics of the cryptocurrency market (Bitcoin) using econometric estimation tools based on machine learning models. The forecasting method is improved based on time series decomposition and lagged shifts of financial indicators. An ensemble of short-term forecast models for the Bitcoin exchange rate is built, and its accuracy is analyzed and compared to individual component models. Time series models are used along with calculated financial indicators (ADODS, NATR, TRANGE, ATR, OBV, RSI, ADTV). The absolute deviation of the short-term forecast amounted to $9.5, which is 0.06% of the absolute value. |
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